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Deuce or Die

Alright, I kept my mouth shut about Deuce all week. The Saints didn't use him much against the Vikings and I chalked it up to gameplan like everyone else. Minnesota has a great run defense so the Saints had to get it done through the air. Maybe they didn't want to send Deuce into a losing situation. I get it. I'm not sure I necessarily agree with it. I don't feel they really even attempted to test the waters. If the Saints defense could amazingly hold Adrian Peterson to only 32 yards then the Minnesota Vikings defense could just as easily have had an amazingly bad day stopping the run. No use crying over spilled milk though. The Saints need to move forward. Let's discuss how they might better do that.  

Star-divide

The Raiders run defense ranks 17th in the league giving up 113.3 yards per game. Using Deuce frequently to run between the tackles should definitely be a part of the gameplan this weekend. This Sunday there should be no excuses. I'm serious. I am getting angry just typing this. Things surrounding the whole Deuce situation up to this point have been a little peculiar. I don't think I am the only one who feels that way. At some point all of us are going to have to get a definite answer with regards to what direction the running game of this team is heading. Sunday's game against Oakland seems like the perfect time to me. 

Check out these stats. I compared the averages of certain stats from the Saints two victories so far this season to the same stats from their 3 loses.
Stat 2 Wins 3 Losses
Pass Attempts 33.5 42.3
Gross Yards Passing 353 yds 322.3 yds
Average Gain per Pass 10.3 yds 6.9 yds
Total Rushing Plays 29.5 22
Net Yards Rushing 102.5 yds 66 yds
Average Gain per Rush 3.5 3.0

I'm not trying to point out the obvious facts like we win when we run the ball well or run it more often. The most interesting part about all of these stats is the way in which they correlate with each other. Sure when the Saints running game is working then Drew doesn't need to throw the ball as much. That's obvious. But look at how much more efficient the passing game is when the running game is working well. They get more done with less. That's because the running game and passing game are related and feed off of each other. Play action becomes more effective. Opposing defenses are more respectful and remain honest. When the Saints become one dimensional and allow opposing defenses to forget about the running game, they are free to focus more on defending the pass. If that gets shut down...game over.  

To be honest with you I don't really care who runs the ball but Deuce just seems to be the logical choice if there is nothing wrong with him at all. Remember Deuce didn't even participate in one of those two wins in the above stats. But Pierre Thomas did and played a great game as a pseudo replacement for Deuce toting the rock 10 times with a 5.3 yards per carry average while Reggie did a great job doing his own thing on the ground and in the air. The fact is, Reggie by himself just doesn't get it done. It just needs to be someone else who can consistently pound the ball. We all love Reggie now but let's at least admit that he is not this teams best option for running between the tackles. He is best suited for the outside stuff and because of that and his ability to do everything else, he still needs to be a crucial part of this offense. But it's when the Saints have had a threat on the ground up the middle to consistently wear down a defense that this offense has performed at their peak and utilized their weapons much more efficiently and with greater ease.

If Payton is going to continue to play mind games with all of us regarding Deuce, the least he could do is establish a running game in some other fashion. So I have one question for you coach Payton...What's it gonna be? Lose this one and we're exactly where we were this time last year. That would be disappointing. Very disappointing.

 

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100% on the money; dead right; case closed

Don’t know how to agree with you any more than that!!

by Philinwood on Oct 9, 2008 6:40 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Another point

I just made this point on another thread: if Deuce is on the active roster, he should play. Someone that we might be able to use is not on the active roster because Deuce is. Let him pull his weight, or make him inactive if you think he can’t.

by MtnExile on Oct 9, 2008 8:33 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I think he pulled his weight last week

We don’t need him to do more than he did last week. I’d rather see him used in the RIGHT situations than at random. Last week was the first time that they used him correctly—also in short line red zone situation from previous week. That’s where we need him the most.

by xen-cuts on Oct 9, 2008 8:51 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

"Reggie by himself just doesn't get it done"

True. We have to have balance between the 3 offensive phases (Drew, Reggie, Deuce/Pierre). When anyone would throw a pass in the first quarter, my dear late father would yell “You’ve got to establish the run first!!”

by stujo4 on Oct 9, 2008 8:57 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

"you don't need him to do more than he did last week" (re: Deuce)

We lost last week. The week before he carried the ball 20x and we won. Any RB needs multiple touches to get rhythm and play his best. Now you can give the ball to Reggie and what you get is a career 3.6 yards per carry or you can give it to P Thomas (4.0 yards per carry career) or Stecker (4.0 pds per carry in his last 7 seasons) or to Deuce (4.3 yards per carry career). The stats don’t lie. Reggie has a huge value, and he is exciting but statistically he doesn’t get the boring job of moving the chains consistently done. If you wonder why we have failed on 3rd and one in some key instances this situation, I will profer to you that some of the teams with better records than us got the first down before they got to 3rs and 1!! If your RB averages 4.3 yards per carry, you are going to be closer, on average, to a first down after tweo carries than an RB who averages 3.6 yards and gets two carries. If you look around the NFL, you will find the stars and the starters, the Pro Bowlers and the feature RBs avg 4.0 per carry or better and the 2nd tier backs who average less get replaced. It’s like golf, you either make the cut or you don’t. It doesn’t matter if your name is Mickleson or Els. Flat out stats. Crap, even Corell Buckhalter, TJ Duckett and Michael Pittman average above 4.0 yards per carry. You just can’t sustain an offense with a RB who averages 3.6 yards per carry. You can blame the running game on the line, but we have to find out what would happen if we change one position, because we can’t change the whole line. Keep Reggie involved- but don’t feature him. Give him some handoffs, screen plays, swing passes, etc. bur don’t feature him as a running back. He hasn’t earned it from scrimmage .

Also, surprisingly, Reggies longest runs from scrimmage are (2006) 18 2007 (26) 2008 (22) . There is a lot of hype for a breakaway big play runner whose longest run in 2.5 years is 26 yards. Duece’s longest runs of the season (before the last two years) were like 71 yards, 74 yards, 57 yards , 62 yards, 74. If he is over the hill I want to find out.

by Philinwood on Oct 9, 2008 10:00 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Stu's dad was a wise man

I couldn’t agree more with everything said here. Monday night, I think Payton strayed too far away from the run game. Yes, The Vikings D has a good rep for stuffing the run, but when you go almost completely pass-happy, any defense will constantly bring the pressure and blitzes to shut that down. After the first Saints drive when they pretty much just strolled into the endzone, the Vikings figured out the offensive game plan and turned up the pressure at the line, which interfered with the timing and threw off Drew’s effectiveness in the air. Plus, they focused on Carl Nicks and and later Zach Streif and were able to get by them on several plays.

I didn’t expect Payton to give a boatload of carries to Deuce, but a few more might have helped slow the Vikings pass rush a bit. Deuce did single-handedly pick up a 3rd and 1 play even after being hit behind the line. He also had a nice run up the gut for about 8 yards later in the game. He could have been more effective if he had been used more effectively. I expect him to get many more carries against the Raiders.

Still, I can’t fault Payton’s Monday night game plan too much. It was the player mistakes (i.e. dropped passes, penalties, lining up wrong, poor ball security, low field goal kick, poor blocking, etc.) that led to that loss. The players just weren’t focused on winning the game, which is something Payton as the head coach would get the ultimate blame for.

Go Saints!!!!

by satchmo26 on Oct 9, 2008 10:12 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I've always thought that last point was true

But now I wonder: true in what sense? I mean, if you’re privileged to be playing in the NFL, and you still can’t get up for a game, can’t concentrate on what you’re doing—what the hell else can a coach do to motivate you? If the atmosphere of an NFL game doesn’t have you sky-high and motivated out the wazoo, then you’re pretty much emotionally dead. Then, it becomes a matter of replacing players. What else specifically can a coach do to change things?

Strictly speaking, coaches should be instructing and drilling their players in techniques. That’s what “coaching” means. If we assume that the coaches have been showing the players the proper techniques, and that they’ve been spending their time drilling those techniques, and that the problem is game-time focus, then maybe stujo is right when he says the team needs a staff psychologist. Something is interfering with their ability to focus, and it’s costing us the season.

by MtnExile on Oct 9, 2008 12:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Young first-time millionares are easily distracted

Everything you said is true, but we’re talking about guys who are mostly in there 20’s and who, for the first time in their lives, have lots of money at their disposal. This facilitates distraction from game preparation during the week. Don’t get me wrong, this is absolutely no excuse, but it needs to be taken into consideration when trying to figure out why some are inconsistent or prone to game-time mistakes. I know I would be fighting distraction from the game if I had the amount of money some of these guys do. It must be a challenge for any coach to fully get their guys ready and mentally set for a game each week for 16+ games a season. You’re right though, the players should realize, and I believe most do, that if you want the big money and you want to keep getting it, you have to motivate yourself to perform to perfection each week. I’m sure most believe they are 100% mentally ready before game time, but sometimes they aren’t.

Go Saints!!!!

by satchmo26 on Oct 9, 2008 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very simple

You’ve got to give a bruiser North/South running back a rhythm. Get the D guessing on what’s going to happen to open up the pass game and give more confidence to a #2 and #3 receiver. They need to feel like they are just playing and not saving the day, that’s why so many dropped balls. It’s not rocket science. My opinion is, it’s Payton saying he can get it done without Deuce. Bottom line we need Deuce and we need him early in the game very simple.

by BigTMill on Oct 9, 2008 12:33 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Deuce is the key

The Saints, under Sean Payton, are 10-1 when Deuce gets 15 or more carries. Let me repeat that, 10-1! We are 3-9 when Deuce carries under 15 times. Also, we are 3-13 when Drew Brees attempts over 40 passes per game. The numbers don’t lie. Passing looks great on Espn highlights and on the yardage stat sheet, but doesn’t necessarily produce wins. Deuce quietly gets the job done whenever he has been given the chance. He gives the offense balance and gives our D a much needed rest. Also, he doesn’t turn the ball over.

by Ditka'sGhost on Oct 9, 2008 1:16 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Welcome to The Chronic, DG

(Dave’s the only one who likes to say that, The Chronic. I’m kind of mocking him.)
All good points, no argument here.

by stujo4 on Oct 9, 2008 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

CSC

I’ve been sitting on the sidelines with my chin-strap buckled (like Deuce) for too long, I just had to get in the game. Great job guys, I have enjoyed this site from the start.

by Ditka'sGhost on Oct 9, 2008 1:36 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I'd like to see Reggie and Deuce in the game at the same time...

In the backfield. If I had to critique Payton on anything it would be his lack of identity with the run. He doesn’t let any of his guys establish a rhythm. 3.6 for Reggie is no good when he’s getting 12 carries a game and same for Deuce. I mean I’m all for being a passing team but dang!!! Joseph Addai got 20 carries a game last year and Indy is a passing team. But I have to say, I want to see what PT can do to. I don’t know, but Deuce looked a little stiff last game, like he was constricted by that knee. So, I guess I’m with Phillinwood (despite his disdain for Reggie). Payton needs to take what works and go with it. Last game he had a couple pitchouts to Reggie and they worked great but he doesn’t do that enough. I liked Deuce coming in to get the 1st down too on 3rd and 1. I would like to see what he can do in Oakland so we can see if he’s over the hill or not.

by TAYDIGGA on Oct 9, 2008 1:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

On Pierre Thomas and Deuce

PT – I like the guy, he is a great story, and I’m not suggesting that he never touch the ball. That being said, I’d MUCH rather give Thomas’ touches to Reggie, Deuce, etc, etc. We only get so many snaps and when you want to get touches for Colston, Shockey, Bush, Deuce, etc, how many are really left for Thomas? Realistically, I think he should be getting about 6 touches (give or take a few) per game.

Deuce – I feel like I’m the resident Deuce naysayer, and I’m not. I’m all for Deuce getting touches, but how many is reasonable? As I was saying earlier this week, Reggie looks to me like he is figuring “it” out and need to touch the ball 30 times a game (including kicking game). That isn’t leaving too many touches for Deuce. I also believe, that Deuce and Reggie need to be on the field at the same time, so Reggie can counteract the obvious lack of fear that Deuce is inspiring in defenses at the moment – that will probably open up soem space for him, I also agree with Taydigga (even though I’m convinced he’s Bush’s agent) that Deuce didn’t look that great Monday. Hopefully it was a combo of the vikings D and his being a little off.

by SaintBevo on Oct 9, 2008 6:17 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Deuce and Reggie

The reality is this. Deuce never goes down from the first hit. Reggie does. Deuce is not a “home run” threat. Reggie is. They both need to get the ball, but in different ways. Deuce between the tackles especially on first down and short yardage. Reggie on play action, screens, returns, etc. They feed off of each other, and it is hard to account for both, especially with Drew Brees running the show. But they both need to be on the field at the same time as often as possible. Also, the number one reason you have to be able to run the ball well is during playoff time. There are to many cold or bad weather spots that you may have to go through to get to the Big Dance. No one needs to be reminded about the NFC Championship debaucle.

by Ditka'sGhost on Oct 9, 2008 7:43 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Ooh, close but no cigar SaintBevo!!

Not his agent. But you’re totally right SaintBevo, I’m not a Deuce hater but I hold the same sentiments you do about him. Secondly, what people fail to realize, is there are two ways to break tackles. Bulldoze over people or juke your way out of them. I just read an article with one of the Raiders guys saying that Reggie breaks tackles and not just one guy can tackle him. So they are going to have to be ready (I guess they plan to punt to him too) Deuce is a dozer and that’s what you guys mean by breaking tackles. But it isn’t the only or best way. Reggie is a juker, some one grabs him and his speed and agility doesn’t let them get a good hold. Both work at different times just as they fail at different times. Lets not make sweeping statements. I like the 3rd and 1 Deuce execution. But I also like the 4th and 1 Reggie execution. They both highlight different styles. They need to be used to complement each other.

by TAYDIGGA on Oct 9, 2008 8:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

ay unless its you, I think someone plagiarized this post...

found the exact same post on another web site, don’t know if its you or not but her is the link to check it out:

http://deuceandreggie.com/

by TAYDIGGA on Oct 11, 2008 4:06 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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