16-0: Colts vs. Saints From WhatIfSports.com
Based on 10,001 simulations of each game left on the NFL schedule (see below), the Saints have an 89% chance of setting a franchise record with a 10-0 start against Tampa Bay this weekend, but there's little doubt that their stiffest remaining test will come in Week 12 against the Patriots. New Orleans gets New England at home and, according to our current numbers, the Saints take down the Patriots nearly two-thirds of the time and by about a touchdown.
If New Orleans makes it past New England, it will almost certainly get by Washington to go 12-0 in Week 13. Then it's on to back-to-back weeks against NFC playoff contenders. Still, at this point, they win three of every four matchups at Atlanta and hosting Dallas, beating each team by about a touchdown as well.
And if they get through that gauntlet, they could be smooth-sailing to 16-0 with a better than 80% chance of taking down Tampa Bay - again - and Carolina to close out the season.
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