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The Future of Drew Brees

I wanted to shift gears today and break away from the monotony of training camp/pre-season talk. We've analyzed every player and position battle quite enough this last month and I think we deserve a little time off. Just for today let's forget about the present and talk a little bit about the future, particularly as it pertains to the man we all know and love, Drew Brees. I will just come right out with it and say that the huge new quarterback contracts being signed have got me a bit worried. 

It started a few weeks ago when I heard the news about Eli Manning's fat new $97 million contract. I gave pause for just one second to think about what that might mean for Drew Brees and his eventual contract negotiations with the Saints. Then a few days ago Phillip Rivers inked his new 6-year deal worth $92 million and those same thoughts lingered in my brain. I quickly came to the simple conclusion: Brees will definitely command that same kind of money, if not more, when the time comes. How it all plays out and who winds up paying him, however, is anyone's guess.

Drew is currently in the middle of a 6-year, $60 million deal he signed in March of 2006 - $37 million less than Manning's latest payday. That means he's due a new contract after the 2011 season. Given the ever increasing nature of today's NFL contracts, particularly when it comes to the all important quarterback position, there is no telling how much money Brees will be worth when it's his turn to sign on the dotted line.

You can imagine it will inevitably be higher as the years pass and other players sign. Players like Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, who are both due new contracts after the 2010 season, a year before Brees. I would expect at least one of them to sign a record deal and set the bar even higher before Drew's turn comes around. You can forget about the possibility of Brees ever renegotiating before either Brady or Manning. His agent would never allow that. We do, however, want to keep in mind the possibility of an uncapped 2011 season, meaning a team like Dallas could lure Brees away with some ridiculous offer he can't refuse. 

Right now all we have are questions, of which there are plenty. Assuming he continues at this pace or better (wink, wink), just how much will Brees be worth when the time comes? More importantly, will the Saints be willing to pay? If they do, will it leave enough money to afford other talented players around him as well? In an uncapped season, will the Saints be willing or able to match a crazy high contract offer? Would Drew ever accept less money just to stay in New Orleans? Worst of all, will 2011 be a good time to part with a possibly declining Brees? 

Feel free to answer any and all of these questions and use them as a jumping off point for sharing your own thoughts and inner fears about the future. 

Poll
Do you think Drew Brees will be a Saint after 2011?
Yes
788 votes
No
117 votes

905 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 20 comments |

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I'd vote for "I sure hope so."

I think some of it may depend on what happens between now and then. If we win a few super bowls, and then the core of the team starts to break up, he may be ready for a new scene. If we get close, but not quite (like Peyton Manning in the early Dungy years), and the players pretty much stay the same, it might make him more likely to sign with us again.

These 8-9 year $100 deals are such a sham. Once they hit the big money years in them, they get restructured or players get released, so they really are just 2-3 year deals in actuality. I’t’s about the prestige and bragging rights and guaranteed up-front money (for the player and agent).

I just hope it goes well when the time comes. I have no doubt that Drew will say all the right things to the public about it now and then and forever, though.

"I like our back end." -- Mickey Loomis, to Solomon Wilcots and Tim Brando during a press box interview in the 4th Quarter of the Saints-Bengals preseason game.

by HansDat on Aug 28, 2009 7:14 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't see how

we can’t, unless Payton is out the door. They’re BFF or bromantic or whatever you want to call them—and Brees is just way too good to let go anytime soon. I think the drama of the upcoming uncapped year will undoubtedly screw stuff up, but right now I’m sure that we’ll spend the same kind of money on him when the time comes— he’s light years better than either E. Manning or Rivers.

by jful on Aug 28, 2009 8:01 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Well light years might be a slight overstatement. But miles for sure.

by FriarBob on Aug 28, 2009 8:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's light years better than E. Manning.

He is just better than Rivers. Not light years though. Rivers is a pretty damn good QB. Funny how all 3 of them will be forever linked together.

by vicvega26 on Aug 28, 2009 6:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am hoping that

Brees will sign a contract extension next year that will be pricey, but possibly have some creative financing of some sort so the Saints aren’t handcuffed for years to come. I am thinking the extension will be for 3 additional years, meaning if Brees plays them out he will have 13 years in the NFL under his belt. At that point he probably would have done all or nearly all that he could reasonably expect to accomplish and then retire before his body gets a bigger beating from the grind of the NFL and he opts to go unto something less risky as far as his health his concerned. That would mean we don’t have QB issues for 4-5 years and Brees plays plenty of football, retires at a reasonable (NON-FAVRE TYPE) age and goes out healthy and before his skills diminish and hopefully has a SB ring and is a strong HOF candidate, but we will see!!!

by Philinwood on Aug 28, 2009 8:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

You make a lot of sense

I hope it goes down that way. I voted no, but then I realized how soon 2011 is. So, yeah, I think we’ll try hard to keep him to 35 years old. If he can’t get us a ring by then, I think he might try to find a “retirement team” though. He seems like a bright guy, who doesn’t want to be punch-drunk or walker-bound by 40, but I think he’s got something personal to prove with getting a championship. I don’t believe that he thinks he needs Payton to thrive, and after the years he’s put in with us so far, neither will anyone else, if he ends up on the block. If he ended up somewhere else, or with a new OC, I think he’d get the Payton Manning treatment, just get a spread offense, some professional journeymen receivers who show up for practice, and let him go. Once he’s done playing, he seems like a great candidate for either coaching or ESPN analyst.

by FuSoYa on Aug 28, 2009 9:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

My gut feeling

The cap may go away next year but it will come back. There is no way it doesn’t. If it doesn’t there won’t be a CBA at all. There are simply too many teams that would either fold entirely or split off into a separate league or otherwise refuse to play along. There are only a very few teams that can afford to try to “buy” a championship and they won’t be able to drag all the small-market teams along with them even if they are stupid enough to want no cap (and they aren’t that stupid either).

If I’m right on this, then there is no need to worry. Drew will find a way to stick around for as long as SP is here. They have too good a friendship and too close a partnership on the field for either to want any risk of that being broken up.

by FriarBob on Aug 28, 2009 8:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Frankly, I'm not ready to face my inner fears on this one.

Just the sheer thought of this makes me need a drink…

Who IS the Stig?

by Hollywoo! on Aug 28, 2009 9:38 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Jevan Snead is reading this thread with one hand below his computer desk.

I be grindin' while u besmirchin'.

by coldpizza on Aug 28, 2009 9:45 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

dont worry

the uncapped year wont be as bad as everyone thinks. dallas wont offer him a 200 million dollar contract. and i assure you that if the saints like the idea of selling out the superdome, they will do whatever it takes to make sure that db retires a saint. as my name suggests, i love this guy more than any other player ive ever cheered for and as hollywoo mentioned, just thinking about him on another team makes me thirsty.

by DrewBreesManCrush on Aug 28, 2009 12:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I have trouble believing the Saints wouldn't pay Brees to stay

It is very rare for an elite QB to leave his team. Brees and Cutler switching teams are both very unusual events. In the case of Brees, San Diego happened to have a 2nd quarterback that they deemed was just as valuable but a little bit younger (and Brees was coming off of an injury). Even though Brees has been better over the past few years, it is hard to fault SD on their decision, considering they may have Rivers several years longer than Brees stays in the NFL. Cutler’s situation is just weird.

The only other way elite QBs leave their teams is when they become too old to be worth their contracts. Or on some rare occasions, they retire and change their mind, then retire then kind of change their mind, only to retire and then actually change their mind.

Kurt Warner is also a unique situation, but he was not very good for a number of years, and it is hard to determine him to be elite during his whole career (though the times he has been should make him a Hall of Famer).

So given that, and given the absence of a very specific reason that causes Drew to want to leave, it is likely he will re-sign with the Saints at least one more time, likely for somewhere between 3 – 5 years. The question is, what kinds of contracts and personnel choices are the Saints going to have to make to ensure they have the cap room to get it done?

by Monkey Poop Battle on Aug 28, 2009 1:50 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Side note: watched the Tampa/Miami game last night

If the Saints’ defensive line can’t put pressure on whoever Tampa’s qb is, they should all be taken out behind a shed and dealt with. Permanently.

by FuSoYa on Aug 28, 2009 2:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

agreed

that game looked like three who dat victories

by DrewBreesManCrush on Aug 28, 2009 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He will break our bank!

But who knows what will happen in upcapped year. It’s going to be insane.

by xen-cuts on Aug 28, 2009 6:08 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

We shoud trade him!!

For the entire Pittsburgh defense and their next 3 first round picks!! Joey Harrington all the way!! JK of course. I think he’ll retire a Saint unless he doesn’t get a ring in which case I think FuSoYa is right, he’ll go to a “retirement team”. He seems to really love the city and does a lot for the community. I think he would take less money to remain in New Orleans unless you are talking about 30mil less. If it is close, he’ll stay.

by vicvega26 on Aug 28, 2009 6:21 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

it all depends

on what happens over the next few years. Will the Saints be willing to pay the man like 110 million plus? I hope so. Also, I don’t think it will be about the money IF we can win a ring and have a very realistic chance of doing it again. If we are a contender year in and year out, he’ll stay. If we don’t win a ring and are just declining, I think he takes a high end 1-3 year deal somewhere else. I believe that Brees thinks alot about his kid’s kid’s future. His great grandchildren. I think he’ll want it to where they don’t have to worry about money ever. That’s just how Drew has always come off to me, as someone who wants to help everyone while being able to support his family(grandkids and all) for a very long time. I really felt that way more after he went to the business seminar over the summer. If we win a ring and have a decent chance of winning, he’ll stay. If we don’t get a ring…well i’m afraid he will go to someone who gives him his best shot for that. I voted no but i’d really don’t know if i feel that way completely. It’s too early with alot of unknowns. Gives us all something to think about though.

Superbowl bound!!!...I hope? Go Saints! :D

by skinnykinney on Aug 28, 2009 11:52 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not worried . . .

Brees won’t leave New Orleans unless the Saints send him away or offer him such a small contract that it’s a slap in the face. He’s setting records right now, and it is because of the environment not just his skill as a signal caller. The fact is that he would not be as effective or dominant in any other system in the NFL. The Saints are a match made in heaven for him (No pun intended), and he’s already stated that he would take less money to play here. Regardless of all that, though, the Saints need to pay him what he’s worth . . . PERIOD. He is the number 1 reason the Saints win on any given Sunday. Our chances at making it to the Superbowl will be non-existent when he leaves NOLA.

The people who say, "Winning isn't everything," don't win very often.

by Hooahsaint on Aug 29, 2009 1:01 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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