Three Current Camp Concerns
Things have been going pretty darn well so far during this years training camp and most news from the frontlines has been positive. But there have been a few troubling aspects that, while early, could be cause for concern down the road. I've attempted to pinpoint some of the current lowlights that have arisen thus far in camp and that, hopefully, fans won't look back on in anger. Feel free continue the conversation and to voice your own concerns in the comment section.
Missing Malcolm
This holdout is starting to put a bit of a scare in me and if things gets even uglier, Jenkins could miss a buttload of time that would put him just too far behind - Payton has said he's already missed three installations. Fans have been excited all off-season about the talent Jenkins could immediately bring to the Saints secondary; some even touting that he would easily be a starter. While I don't agree with that logic, MJ would at least offer depth at a position the Saints were once weakest but are now pretty strong. Because, God forbid, injuries plague the defense again, it would be nice to have a guy like Jenkins to fall back on instead of someone like, say, Aaron Glenn. Otherwise, the Saints could be no better off than last year as the team continues to give up big plays.
The Ghost of Dan Morgan
The Times-Pic staff still have Shanle as the Saints starting WLB based on the reps they've seen so far at training camp. Since I haven't heard much about any of the competition at linebacker - it's always about receivers, running backs and cornerbacks - or any over-the-top, rave reviews about the second or third string linebackers thus far, I can't help but feel the Saints are in no better position than last year. Anthony Waters, Jonathan Casillas and Jo-Lon Dunbar have drawn only slight attention from the media; Dunbar most recently for riding a bike during practice. But I haven't heard enough positive hyperbole to warrant my thinking that this will be the year they unseat the unseatable. Another lousy season from the defense and fans could surely point to a stagnant, unimproved linebacking corp as the reason.
Here We Go Again
Things aren't looking so great for poor Adrian right now and the clock is ticking. Last year a toe injury ended his season after showing some promise during camp. Now he's dealing with a hamstring injury that was worse than he thought. Truth is, the Saints would probably still be fine without him thanks to the depth they've got at receiver but I was personally looking forward to complete aerial domination by Brees and the Gang this season. Not having Arrington puts a slight wrinkle in that plan. So chalk this one up more as a personal disappointment rather than a possible cause for total season meltdown. Losing Arrington this early again, however, would be eerily reminiscent of last year and could foreshadow the looming possibility of another injury plagued season for the Saints. If you're the superstitious type.
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"My Take", by FuSoYa, Moon-Wizard
Good talking points across the board, SS. My feelings on both concern 1 and 3 are that we’ve got so much depth at both positions now, that neither player will be missed immediately. In the long term, though, I fear for the Saints relationship with both of those players.
Arrington STILL hasn’t gotten past speculation on his “potential”, so who’s to say how much better he can be than what we’ve got going now. I’m of the opinion that Henderson has nothing to offer the WR corps that he hasn’t already, and that Meachem will take his place in the roster at some point this season, probably early. Moore may be just an overhyped journeyman, and Colston may just be an overachiever, but, honestly, how much better could ANY receiver do than these guys have done for us so far? Our TE’s are respectable passing options,as are any of our backs, Evans now included. Unless Jhari Evans starts playing as an eligible receiver, I don’t know how much more we can hope for in terms of passing. I’m currently more concerned with the possibility of a severe dropoff in passing production without the development of a bread-and-butter running game.
As far as Jenkins is concerned, I’m starting to worry that his relationship with the organization will be soured before he even touches the practice field. Hopefully his agent will get the blame, but if it really is Loomis lowballing him out of training camp, he may not be that excited about suiting up in the black and gold when(if) the time comes. While it seems like we may not need him this year, it sure would be nice to have a real up and comer in the Saints secondary for a change, and injuries could always create a necessity sooner rather than later. Because of last years’ and this years’ star-crossed offseason transactions, most of our ‘09 draft-class eggs have ended up in his basket, so why start nitpicking over half a million now? I don’t think ANY player who hasn’t so much as sniffed a professional locker room should be worth the GDP of Chad (the country, not the longsnapper), but you have to go with the flow. The Saints are saving money elsewhere( training camp in Metairie, Arnoux on IR), just get the deal done, and let’s move on.
The WLB concern is what it is. They tried and failed twice this offseason to address it, and now the party line is,“we’re happy with what we have.” Didn’t seem that way in the spring, but if you say so, PayLoo. The linebacker corps will do exactly what they did last year. Maybe different coaching will unlock Shanle’s and Fujita’s hidden wells of talent that they didn’t even know about. More realistically, maybe the changes in front of and behind the linebackers will mask that mediocrity better. That’s all us fans really have to hope for.
I’d personally like to add one more concern of mine to this list, to which I already alluded earlier: no change in the Saints’ running strategy. The O-line hasn’t changed, the RB starters haven’t changed(so far as we can see at this point). 3rd and 2 will still happen in ‘09. I love PT and Bush to death(well, maybe not THAT much, but anyway), but they could not get it done last year. Are the chips just going to fall their way this year? That hasn’t historically been the case for this organization. Mike Bell is not a bruiser. Hamilton, Donaldson, and Hill aren’t making any headlines so far. Evans and improved play from Shockey in run blocking are the only tangible things to hope for improvement in. Or(gulp), a more true-to-form “West Coast” passing strategy that produces short-yardage gains consistently, and keeps the clock moving.
As far as Jenkins is concerned, I’m starting to worry that his relationship with the organization will be soured before he even touches the practice field. Hopefully his agent will get the blame, but if it really is Loomis lowballing him out of training camp, he may not be that excited about suiting up in the black and gold when(if) the time comes.
I’m not convinced that this is Loomis’ fault at all. It could be completely his fault, none of his fault, or (most likely) somewhat split for both sides. But if you look back at last year’s contracts, the #14 overall got $16M with $10M guaranteed, the #13 got $20M & $10.795, and the #15 overall got $15.8M & $9.2M. All of these were 5 year deals. Compare that now to this year’s contracts. We still don’t know what Cushing got (or at least nfl.com hasn’t told us), but this interestingly enough the #13 this year was also a 5 year deal for $20M but with a whopping $12.1M guaranteed. This may very well be the problem, or at least the main one.
The Saints were/are pressed HARD against the cap from what we’ve been hearing (over and over and over again by now) all off-season. We even had to pull out the seldom-used and nearly obsolete “completion bonus” to keep ourselves safe on the cap on several contracts (which might well be why we lost out to St. Louis for that other CB we apparently wanted). Oh it’s (probably) still guaranteed money (especially if they explicitly make it so) but they don’t get it today, which some people apparently don’t like. I can’t truly say I blame them there either.
Since CAA is the agent for all three of these guys it could well be that all three of them didn’t get much in the way of an increase in raw contract numbers over the previous years but they did get a big increase in the guaranteed money. CAA might be looking for the same type of numbers from the Saints and Loomis is having a hard time coming up with a structure for the contract that appeases their demands yet keeps the team safe on the cap. Or perhaps we just flat out can’t do it and no matter how hard he tries to come up with an alternate that they’ll accept their just being stubborn bastards. Or finally they could be demanding that buy-back clause and Loomis is (rightfully, IMO) refusing. Or perhaps the incentive clauses are causing problems. Or some combination of the above and/or other factors we know squat about could be included as well.
The problem is that we only have 1/10th of one side of the story. We just don’t know who really is to blame, but the impression I get from what little has been said is that CAA is the ones walking away from the table. But the question, as always, is why. We don’t know. This is one of the very rare instances where I wish they would fight it out in the media, because at least then we’d have he-said-she-said to go on rather than dead air.
They tried and failed twice this offseason to address it, and now the party line is,"we’re happy with what we have." Didn’t seem that way in the spring, but if you say so, PayLoo. The linebacker corps will do exactly what they did last year. More realistically, maybe the changes in front of and behind the linebackers will mask that mediocrity better.
Once again I’m not sure here. I hoped that Morgan would be able to play and I’m sure he would have been an upgrade, but I wasn’t counting on him and I’m willing to believe them (tentatively at least) when they say the same. I didn’t see Arnoux as an attempt to upgrade the position this year. Key point there though. I’m quite sure that in the medium-run they hope (and hoped at the time) that he’ll provide them with a young replacement for one of the OLBs. But I don’t think they were counting on him for this year either. If they were they are idiots, and while I’m not sure they are as smart as they think they are I’m quite sure they aren’t pure idiot either.
And then I’ve never been fully convinced Fujita and Shanle were as horrible as everybody seems to think / act like they are. Granted I didn’t get to watch a lot of the old Dome Patrol days. Actually I got to watch very little of it, and I remember less. Compared to those guys they are pathetic, true. But you and the rest are making the mistake of comparing apples to oranges. Actually more like apples to mountains. In a 3-4 the DL’s sole responsibility is to tie up the OL so the LBs can make the plays. Gross oversimplification of course but not totally inaccurate. In the 4-3 its quite different. And the KEY point to remember is that you are used to (based on last time you saw the Saints have a good D) the LBs making play after play after play, constantly, with big sacks and game-changing fumbles and a D that held the offense’s coat and prayed that Brooks or somebody wouldn’t pull a Delhomme and give the game away with 6 turnovers of his own. But the only way an LB can make those types of plays in the 4-3 is if you blitz, and Gary Gibbs didn’t do that! Whether he didn’t do it because he was afraid to, or too stupid to realize he needed to, or because Payton held him back as recently accused by Kenny, or some other reason or combination of reasons, he didn’t do it, and as a result we haven’t seen these guys make those kind of plays… but they weren’t given a chance to make them either! How can you blame them for failing to make plays they weren’t given the opportunity to make?
Back to the point… compared ONLY to other 4-3 OLBs in the league… well I don’t think they are that bad. In fact in some areas I think they are above average, yet people treat them and talk about them like they are so horrible that they shouldn’t even be playing HS football. Well let me tell you something buddy, I’ve seen NFL players in recent memory who DO fit that description and these guys aren’t that bad. They aren’t superstars and likely never will be, but they ARE plenty adequate if the rest of the D holds up its end of the bargain. And I think they will. Now I also don’t think these guys have too many more years left in them… two or three at the most… but that gives us a bit more time to get Dunbar or Arnoux ready or some FA in to replace them.
Well let me tell YOU buddy,
I don’t find myself in disagreement with either of your points, really. I don’t know what the story is with Jenkins’ contract, I think it’s terrible that one or two companies get to run the entire 1st round contract extravaganza, and I’m not ready to put it all on Loomis. But the fact is, the parameters of Jenkins’ “slot” have been set now. It can’t be that hard to agree on a number any more…unless one party or the other wants to step outside those set parameters. However it goes down, if I were Jenkins, I really don’t care if I’m worth 9 million guaranteed or 10 million guaranteed, I’m about to be a millionaire, and if I want any more millions, I should probably go out and join the team. Whoever is standing in the way of that would be a problem for me.
I also agree that Shanle and, to a lesser degree, Fujita are mediocre linebackers. I don’t think they’re the worst that have ever played, but they are a definite soft spot on the defense that got no work this offseason. I also doubt that Arnoux would be an immediate starter, but he might have lit a fire under Shanle, and I assume Morgan would have been a real contender to usurp Shanle’s stranglehold on that position. I’ve heard he’s quite good.
Lastly, I am most certainly NOT comparing the 3-4 Dome Patrol to this 4-3 linebacking corps. If I were, I would want them all strung up in public, Vilma included. But even though their job descriptions are different and the Dome Patrol was the best defensive unit the Saints ever fielded, that doesn’t mean these current guys don’t still have definable jobs to do when they take the field. Shanle can’t really do any of them in a manner consistent with a starting NFL OLB. The WLB, even in a 4-3, has to be able to reach the qb if he’s blitzing, and has to plug up a lane against the run, and should really be able to stick with at least some rb’s and te’s in coverage. Shanle does none of that well. He can do that stuff, just not often. In his defense, he does tackle tight ends who just caught a pass pretty well, so he can be a real beast against receivers YAC statistic. Fujita is less bad, maybe only because I remember him as being better in ‘06, but he’s definitely mediocre, as well.
I agree with everything you just said
I think both Shanle and Fujita could stand to be upgraded. Of course, when you’re trading away half your draft for tight ends and punters, there’s not a whole lot of wiggle room for improvement.
ha
i get it
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by Dave Cariello on Aug 4, 2009 1:02 PM CDT up reply actions
I am very optimistic even so
everyone’s concerns make a lot of sense. But if we didn’t have Meachem, AA’s struggles would be a bigger deal. As it is, this will probably give Meachem a big chance and we will find out if he will have that breakoput season, I think he will. Moore is a true pro- probably best hands on the team. Every QB wants a guy like him. has good speed, not great spped, but it doesn’t matter. With Drew’s accuracy, Moore will be a go to guy. He also runs routes well. shockey is a phenomenal TE, evem though he is controversial. He will excel and he will ignite the offense at times. He really didn’t have a bad season last year when he was not out with an injury. I know he didn’t score tds. but everyone else did. TDs were not our problem on offense last year, first downs/short yardage were.
I think Shockey will be fine, but jusr remember we have 6 or 7 good receivers, so don;t expect him to catch 100 passes- Colston, Reggie, Moore, Meachem- how many guys can get the ball all the time??
Jenkins will sign eventually and the deal should really be done already, but I am on the side of the NFL management on this stuff- the rookies are overpaid (high draft picks that is) accomplish something first before you get rich and lazy. Butg I think we can be good with Porter, Greer, Gay and David if there is a pass ruch. If there is no pass rush, then it doesn’t matter anyway.
And the running game will be better because now we know it was our one identifiable weakness and these guys are pros- they will get it right and the coaching/play calling will be oriented towards getting it straight.
I Think I am the only one
who likes Shanle, I think the problems with the defense have not been Shanle’s fault. I also would like to see Simoneau get a little time at WLB to see how he does there.
Only the problems with Shanle's play
are Shanle’s fault. Unfortunately, those include being unable to get to the qb in the pass rush, being unable to adequately cover rb’s and te’s in pass coverage, and being a serviceable tackler at best. Which is why I agree with you that you’re likely the only one who likes Shanle.
good points, DAve
I’m worried about MJ’s holdout. I’d like him in and practicing and getting tight with his teammates. I don’t think their will be hard feelings unless it turns into a JaMarcus Russell type thing.
Revis, whom we all seem to be benchmarking in this case held out 21 days and he still played in 15 games and had 4 picks for the Jets. But who knows what he’d have done had he been in place all of camp? Maybe he would have been hurt on Day 7 and missed his whole rookie season. Maybe he would have picked off 9 passes in the season and be halfway to the HOF right now. But I’d definitely rather have MJ in camp.
I wonder about how our LBs will do since we haven’t really brought in any new players – we’ll have to watch early in the preseason games to get a taste of this, I guess, although preseason does not really show much of what a team will do in the regular season.
I want to hear more about the DL and how they look. I think that will be of primo importance – new coach, new players (BJ, Coleman, Hargrove, Spicer, and what seems to be an amped up BMcCray wanting to take over this DEFENSE), CG and WS suspensions, etc.
Hopefully Payton’s not just thinking up more trickeration for short-yardage plays to improve our 3rd and short conversions. That could be a disaster.
"Look, I'm not a -- -- -- -- savior." - Gregg Williams
switch out "there" for "their" in the first line, please
"Look, I'm not a -- -- -- -- savior." - Gregg Williams
by Hans Petersen on Aug 4, 2009 2:12 PM CDT up reply actions
oh yeah, AA
It’s a bit sad that he’s not healthier, because like you Dave I was hoping he’d make us soooo good and deep at WR that we’d either be the first team to go 16-0 with 4 receivers going over 1000 yards and 10 tds each (and then eventually trade 2 of them for Troy polamalu and Vince wilfork), but like the Dan Morgan sit’n, he wasn’t on our team and contributing, and now gone, so that’s not as big a concern for me.
"Look, I'm not a -- -- -- -- savior." - Gregg Williams

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