Time For the Saints' Offense to Put Up Points
What's going on with our offense this year? Yeah, yeah, Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are hurt. Still, they played the first couple of games and it didn't seem to help. To everyone's shock, the Saints are averaging 19.8 points per game through 5 games. Sadly I took their offensive productivity for granted, based on how the Saints performed the first four years in the Sean Payton era. But this year, they're not running the ball enough, they're not running it well when they do, and they are struggling to throw it. Red zone percentage? Forget it. In case you were wondering for comparison's sake, the Saints averaged a healthy 31.9 points per game last year. The bottom line is the Saints are looking so beatable because they aren't putting points up on the scoreboard. It's time for Sean Payton and his crew to get back to what they do best, and starting this week. Make the jump for some interesting stats.
I've always been a big proponent of the idea that numbers don't lie. When a girl asks you if she looks fat, I suggest you always respond with "the scale doesn't lie". Ok, not the most romantic or sensitive approach, and only bad things can come from that response. Actually, please don't tell her that. But my point is, her weight is dictated by the scale, not by your perception (or hers) of how well she masked said looks based on clothing, makeup etc... Similarly, no player can hide from the numbers which dictate how they are playing. So just how much is everyone under-performing compared to last year?DREW BREES
Through 5 games in 2010: 95.7 passer rating, 71.4% completions, and 7.1 yards per attempt.
Through 15 games in 2009: 109.6 passer rating, 70.6% completions, and 8.5 yards per attempt.
RUNNING ATTACK
Through 5 games in 2010: 75.6 yards per game rushing, 3.3 yards per carry, 0.6 fumbles per game.
Through 16 games in 2009: 131.6 yards per game rushing, 4.5 yards per carry, 0.375 fumbles per game.
OFFENSIVE LINE
Through 5 games in 2010: Yielding 3 QB hits per game, yielding 1.6 sacks per game.
Through 16 games in 2009: Yielding 3.25 QB hits per game, yiedling 1.25 sacks per game.
PENALTIES (the whole team)
Through 5 games in 2010: Committing 4.4 penalties per game
Through 16 games in 2010: Committing 5.6 penalties per game
DROPPED PASSES
Through 5 games in 2010: 1.8 drops per game
Through 16 games in 2009: 1.19 drops per game
What does this all mean? Despite common perception that the line isn't performing as well, I'm not sure I agree. Granted, the running attack is horrendous so far. I'd blame Pierre Thomas, Lynell Hamilton and Reggie Bush all being hurt, but before they got injured they were miserable this season. In fact, Ladell Betts and Chris Ivory have both been way more productive. I guess you could argue that PT Cruiser and Reggie would have been MORE productive in those games, but we'll never know. You could blame the offensive line for doing a poor job of run blocking. Pass blocking wise, though, they are giving up slightly more sacks and slightly less hits on the quarterback. Overall it's about a wash. Also, the Saints are committing far fewer penalties so far in 2010. So everyone is talking about Jahri Evans' holding calls and whatnot, but as a team, the Saints are far more disciplined this year in that area.
What is obvious: Drew Brees is still performing pretty well, but not nearly as well as in 2009. The receivers are dropping more passes. The running backs aren't producing. Basically, the skilled players that are in a position to make the plays simply aren't making the plays. So that's who's to blame for the major drop off. I think it's mostly Brees, the receivers and the backs. I think the line has played worse than last year, but less so than the other groups. Kicker is obviously hurting the Saints' ability to score points too, with already 4 misses in 5 games.
So is @ Tampa the game that turns it around? How do you think they will fare? I think it's time for the Saints' offense to show up, put up points, and perform like they have for the last five years. Plain and simple, through 5 games, they're not getting it done.
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3rd down conversions might also be a place to look
also- it didn’t seem like we were getting 131 yds per game rushing, last year, but since we were, I think it means the running game last year was VERY consistent because I don’t remember many real big rushing days of like 180 yds or more, I could be wrong though.
I think last year we had a lot of short fields for the offense to work with which was a big advantage and we had a lot of points on turnovers. We also had a huge # of points scored by the defense (relatively speaking) compared to a “normal” type of season.
"I think we agree, the past is over" - George W Bush
"The greatest enemy of knowlege is not ignorance; it is the illusion of knowledge" Stephen Hawking
Turnovers/turnover margin might be the most telling stat
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Oct 16, 2010 4:31 PM CDT reply actions
a little more obvious to me
I don’t agree with your stat calculations or your perceptions (a wash?)…
1st of all, the Saints committed most of their penalties in the second half of the season last year, and they are unfortunately continuing that trend way too early this season. The Saints’ O-line is not playing like the Pro Bowl- caliber unit of a year ago. Carl Nicks played his best 2 quarters of football in the 2nd half of the Vikings game, only to be relatively quiet since. Jahri Evans is having his worst season as a pro through 5 games (though i admit that he’s set his bar awfully high).
Sean Payton is known for being a mastermind play designer but has often made questionable “game-time” decisions, dating back to his time with the Giants, more recently last week. Drew Brees took way too long to make his decisions and most of his completions were ‘less than intermediate’ dump-offs. Clearly Payton was keeping things short… or Brees drank his recent endorsement before the game and couldn’t see 10 yards in front of him.
The Saints need to “right the ship” against the Bucs by improving on 4 things:
offense, defense, special teams and coaching. Do that and we’ll be 4-2.
My 2 biggest gripes about our offense
They are the playcalling(not consistently balanced mostly and a few questionable calls) and 4th quarter scoring. We have been outscored by 16 points in the 4th quarter and 19 if you count the OT against Atlanta. Our offensive output has been attrocious throughout the season but last year our O could go from having virtually nothing going to scoring 21 points in the 4th quarter and I think the ability to do that is killing us. Our 2nd quarter scoring(closing a half which we did extremely well in last year) is even worse. We’ve been outscored by 27 points in the 2nd quarter. We have 13 total points in the 2nd quarter and 22 total points in the 4th quarter. It’s not what we did last year and it seems to me like our biggest problem right now is finishing halfs strong. Hopefully we can fix all of this but I’m not sure if there’s enough time.
Superbowl bound!!!...I know! do you?! Go Saints!!
Also
33 points ahead in the 1st quarter and Atlanta is the only team that’s scored against us in the first quarter and that was a TD. 2 points ahead in the 3rd quarter differential.
Superbowl bound!!!...I know! do you?! Go Saints!!
by skinnykinney on Oct 17, 2010 1:28 AM CDT up reply actions

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