The Best Offense is a Good...Offense
Let me first apologize to all the other Saints fans out there that I may have offended with my post-game Debbie Downer rant last week. What was I thinking expecting better from mostly the same team that won the Super Bowl the year prior? That's preposterous!
Just in case you can't detect the sarcasm in my voice, let me just come right out and say that I actually don't apologize. I'm just trying to be clever, witty and maybe a bit douchey. That's the way I felt at the time and those feelings continue to linger. It's cool if you disagree. No, seriously it's cool. That's what makes this blog thing so totally kick ass. But the Saints offense just didn't do everything they could should have done in their close victory over Carolina; I've got every right to be disappointed in my team. Putting the ball on the ground twice after driving 90 and 47 yards? That's not okay. Dropped passes? C'mon! And where the hell is my big play!?
Okay, so maybe I went a little overboard; took it a little too far. After further examination and a toxic blending of over-the-counter medications not legally allowed to be sold together to the same customer, I've calmed down and seen a tiny flicker of light at the end of this long, scary tunnel. Damn, that's a bit dramatic. They may not be putting up as many points, but as other people, like Bradley Handwerger, have also pointed out, it's really not so bad.
No, I'm not talking about that "They're getting everyone's best game" crap. I'm talking about cold, hard stats. Like their 3rd down conversion rate on offense, which is 46% and good for fifth best in the league. Or the passing game which, albeit not as stellar and on point as the last few years, is still better than 27 other teams in the league. In fact the Saints are currently ranked twelfth in total offense, putting them in the top half of the league which, if we're being honest with ourselves, means we can only call them mediocre at worst. Certainly not bad, though.
Even better news is the fact that things seem to be going in the right direction. The offense has averaged almost 100 yards more per game these last two weeks (390.5) compared to the first two (297.5). They dominated time of possession last week and have been moving the ball well. Really. And the running woes? Well there is nothing like losing your two "best" running backs to jump start your team's ground game, which is what happened last week when the Saints finally ran the ball effectively and eclipsed the 100-yard mark for the first time this year, using an Ivory/Betts combination as opposed to the originally planned pair, Thomas/Bush.
I'm not saying everything is perfect. Far from it. Red zone percentage sucks. The offensive line isn't the same (particularly the right side). And, of course, those aforementioned fumbles! But all the signs of this eventual "offensive breakthrough" that we've all been waiting for are definitely there, with just a few minor tweaks.
It's just that the Saints can't seem to get everything going at the same time. They were +5 in turnovers during the first two games but couldn't average more than 300 yards a game or move down the field worth a damn. Then when they finally do gain some momentum on offense, that's when they decide they're going to start turning the ball over. And of course neither one of those scenarios allows them to gain a lead early and help keep their offense balanced. It's called inconsistency and it's a bitch when it comes to winning in the NFL. Put it all together, however, and we're once again looking at the incredibly dangerous offense we've all come to know and love.
This is a team ready to burst, it's simply a matter of firing on all cylinders. Passing the ball well and running it well. Gaining yardage and winning the turnover battle. Getting into the red zone and executing while there. Achieving separation on deep routes and holding onto the ball. It's all got to come together at once. That has been the problem to date. With the fourth worst defense in the Arizona Cardinals next up on the dockett for the Saints, now is the perfect time for them to return to form.
So let's all just take a deep breath, myself included, and get ready for the offensive explosion we're about to witness the Saints unleash tomorrow afternoon. It's long overdue. And if we still don't see that happen this weekend...then it will be time to sound the alarm.
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It's the IT factor.
Dave they just don’t have the IT. I’m hopeing they pick IT up.
What wonderful little gifts April Fools Day brings.
~D's Pappy
Someone call IT and get me some technical support for my computer - Ha!
It's gonna be a great year.
by Hans Petersen on Oct 9, 2010 9:53 AM CDT up reply actions
Welcome to the hangover bandwagon
They said all the right things in the offseason. Everything seemed to break their way, in terms of keeping the team intact. But the essence of a championship hangover is simply losing the hunger that drove you the year before, and that hunger is what IT is. The Saints don’t seem to have the hunger this year. They aren’t concentrating. They’re going through the motions. Oh, Drew is fine…that dumb interception against the 49ers is forgivable, because he was trying to make a play out of nothing. That’s stupid, but it’s hungry stupid. Not catching a ball that drops right in your hands? That’s different. Letting yourself get stripped of the ball right on the goal line? Different. Going from an All-Pro year to leading the team in penalties? Different, again.
The Saints’ offense will wake up when it wants to. As soon as it gets hungry again. Maybe about mid-season, when they’re leading the division and the playoffs have moved close enough to see, they’ll start to realize that they could have the same thing they had last year, if they just dial it up another notch. My guess is, the Pittsburgh game will be our coming out party…for better or worse.
It was worth the wait.
by MtnExile on Oct 9, 2010 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Well said, just have one teensy problem I must pick on
that dumb interception against the49ersFalcons
FTFY
Week 5 matchup: Cardinals
Week 5 motto: I'm too young to have heart problems.
That interception was against the Falcons. And you’re being slightly harsh on Lance Moore; most receivers in the league would have dropped the ball after a hit like that. Also, I don’t think Carl Nicks is hurting the team that much with penalties; so far we’re one of the better teams in the league at not giving them away, rather his issue, and that of the whole line, is one of less successful pass protection.
If I am good I could add years to my life / I would rather add some life to my years.
I think he was talking about Jahri
Week 5 matchup: Cardinals
Week 5 motto: I'm too young to have heart problems.
but at least we haven't stepped in IT yet
or maybe Hartley kept stepping in IT, and that’s why he was missing FGs
It's gonna be a great year.
by Hans Petersen on Oct 9, 2010 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm still cautiously optimistic.
I was hoping the one loss would shake them out of their stupor. Maybe the Cards will give them a shot of confidence.
"Don't ever sell your saddle, cause life's a long, long ride."- Randy Travis
Perspective
I think that most of us need to remember last year a little better. Sure, the first few victories were so incredible and decisive that we remember the Saints being a dominant force all year, but let’s not forget easily losable games against: the Rams, the Dolphins, the Falcons (twice), the Redskins, and the Jets (That game was closer than the score showed). And let’s not forget the narrow losses against the Bucs and the Cowboys. The real key to the magic of the 2009 season was that there was never a game we couldn’t win. Same thing this season. Until the Saints get beaten badly and just aren’t in a game, I’m not even going to start thinking that we’re not playoff material. The blowouts will come, particularly since we’re playing the Seahawks, Bucs, Browns, Cardinals, Bengals, and Rams in fairly quick succession.
Yes, and although the Eagles game got to be a blowout,
it was close in the first half (tied at 7-7 at one point) and 17-13 at halftime. But, respectfully, I will disagree that if we don’t have that high-powered offensive effort and the 2-3 td victory, well, THEN it’s time to be alarmed. No, my opinion is that when we are not in first place in our divsion or if we are not tied for that position, then that’s when it’s time to be alarmed. September and October is not the time to play your best football. Bottom line. September and October is the time to play your WORST FOOTBALL and still WIN! We all know : the time to play your best football is December and January. We were an anomaly last year- running away with it early and then faltering and then regaining peak form. That’s not the best plan. Best plan, start off slow and build momentum and play your Best Football in December and January. Win any way you can in the other months. No one will remember or care about them in January.
"I think we agree, the past is over" - George W Bush
"The greatest enemy of knowlege is not ignorance; it is the illusion of knowledge" Stephen Hawking
big play on offense, followed by a defensive stop/takeaway and another quick score by the offense to get us on a roll that's what we need
just as Dave said, consistency
It's gonna be a great year.
by Hans Petersen on Oct 9, 2010 9:55 AM CDT up reply actions
also
With the fourth worst defense in the Arizona Cardinals next up on the dockett
Here’s hoping we run over Darnell Dockett on Sunday…
It's gonna be a great year.
Panama City
gets to watch Tampa play Cincy Sunday. Oh boy. 3;00 be out in the pick-up truck, listening to 870 AM. Can somebody bring me a beer?
"Emancipate yourself from mental slavery, none but ourselves can free our minds" -Bob Marley
by PanheadCatahoula on Oct 9, 2010 10:26 AM CDT reply actions
This team is improving each week. But.
There seems to be a lack of urgency. When it comes down to crunch time they step it up and do what they have to, to win. It should be there from the first snap. Starting with Drew? The fire is still there but not an inferno. The receivers are running their routes but with out that little extra bit of energy off the line or in their cuts. That ball last week thrown beautifully to Colston, he usually comes down with it. Just didn’t fight that tiny bit harder than the defender for it. Defense last year rallied to the ball every play and made an obvious effort to strip. Haven’t seen that. Remember me hits are few and far between. The injuries have hurt them, but sometimes a new face given a chance to play brings that urgency that the starters are lacking and fires the rest up. This is still the best damn team in the NFL and have it in them to blast anyone out. It just remains to be seen. Hope it is Sun. IMHO Who Dat !
by saints-fan-in-miss on Oct 9, 2010 11:03 AM CDT reply actions
And I actually dont not except your non appology
I was trying top be clever and say I agree with you but I may have outsmarted myself there.
World Champions at last
by mississippisaintsfan on Oct 9, 2010 4:37 PM CDT reply actions
Except I accept the fact that you meant well.
?
Fat, dumb, and happy. Hell, two out of three ain't bad!
I Want To Die In My Sleep Like My Grandpa – Not Screaming and Yelling Like His Passengers.
by Just 'Nother Day on Oct 9, 2010 7:06 PM CDT up reply actions
Brees
Once Brees’ wife has that baby(isn’t she due tomorrow?) he will be like last year. I think that really is what the problem is. And once that happens, he will have the whole offense and defense playing their super bowl style football.
WHO DAT? WE DAT, YA HEARD ME?
Baby Brees II
I finally agree with this. My husband suggested it and I kept saying,.“nah”
I now agree because I better understand because Brittany has said she won’t tell him and won’t call if it would disrupt a game day. That’s what may have him a bit distracted. It may be bigger than him wanting to see his second child born, which I’m sure he does. But, to not know…maybe it’s happening now…and he doesn’t even know it? That really is enough to mess with head a little.
I want the gas pedal down...
oops meant as a reply to tommy v
I want the gas pedal down...
by CrazyforColston on Oct 9, 2010 7:59 PM CDT up reply actions
It certainly could be. But he really doesn’t seem to be the “real” problem. He’s not lighting the world on fire, perhaps, but he’s still playing quite well. It seems more our receivers are having lots of untimely drops and fumbles. If they can cut that out, his completion percentage might actually go up even more, which could be kinda scary considering he’s already at a level above his record-setting performance last year.
That’s one of the main reasons I think the drops are being overplayed. His completion percentage is higher this season. If they were such a paramount factor, that wouldn’t be the case. More than anything else, it’s the lack of a running game — and the subsequent abandonment thereof — that’s curtailing his production. Whether the run is working or not, they shouldn’t deviate from a relatively balanced attack. All that’s doing is hurting the passing game.
"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper
His average yards per completion is currently the lowest of his entire career. His average yards per attempt is 4th lowest after climbing the last two seasons. Even if the few drops they’ve had been caught, it wouldn’t push those numbers up to par, when divided by his number of attempts. Opposing defenses aren’t being kept honest, point blank. Injuries to Thomas and Bush factor into that, as well as run blocking and playcalling. We’ve been in every game throughout, so you can’t possibly blame it on playing catch up. They should be running the ball more. When they don’t, the opposing front seven tee off on Brees, DBs don’t have to worry about coming up to support the run, they’re able to shadow our WRs for a longer period of time downfield and all that’s open is the underneath stuff. Even at Brees’s current percentage, more than 1 in 4 passes are falling incomplete. When it takes two passing attempts per set of downs to move the sticks (7.1 ypa), you can see what little room for error they’re affording themselves. A holding penalty basically ends a drive. An incompletion and/or a nice open field tackle by the opponent on 3rd down will, too. Successful or not, a running play on any one of those three downs greatly increases your odds of converting a first. 2.9 yards (which isn’t asking much) and basically all you need is a 50% completion percentage on the next two attempts. Hell, even if you only gain a yard, 2nd and 9 is better than 2nd and 10. It’s not like anyone’s outright guaranteed to complete a pass and that likelihood that you actually do becomes even less so, when the other team knows what’s coming.
"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper
“Injuries to Thomas and Bush factor into that, as well as run blocking and playcalling.”
I forgot to mention separation downfield, because our WRs aren’t doing a very good job of that to this point. To illustrate that, let’s look at distribution by position through 4 games:
2010
RBs 28.0%
WRs 43.2%
TEs 28.0%
2009
RBs 28.3%
WRs 47.9%
TEs 23.5%
As you can see, the only substantial drop off is at the WR position. Not only is Brees not getting the ball to his guys downfield, he’s taking an increased beating in the process (not unrelated). He’s currently on pace to take 28, which would be up a half sack per game from a year ago. Nothing to get super alarmed about in and of itself, but definitely not a good trend.
I do think some of this has to do with Robert Meachem not being in the game as much. He’s one of our main speed guys and that’s something we could really use right now, to gain that extra separation in the secondary. He is, in fact, beginning to get more snaps, so that’s good. I feel pretty confident that the more Meachem and Henderson are on the field, the more the passing game will start to open up. Yet even more important is getting Pierre Thomas back. He’s the best north-south runner we have. I’m not worried about Reggie as much, because it’s obvious that the short passing game is working. Thomas-Betts will do us right, at least until we’re back to a three-headed monster.
Of course, there’s nothing wrong with a short game whatsoever, if you’re finishing off drives. It’s actually preferred and I don’t think I have to mention why. However, in order to cap off anything with points, you have to at minimum move the sticks consistently and no team in the NFL is going to do that passing the ball 63% of the time. Whittle that down to 55% or so and we’d be back to scoring in the 30’s just about every game out, as the entire offense would open up like a Broadway stage curtain.
"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper
These three comments are all great analysis and not really deserving of being hidden and lost in this thread. Nice work, CP.
If I am good I could add years to my life / I would rather add some life to my years.
+1
"Dang! The Saints won the Super Bowl!" - my wife, Meso "Happy" Hu Dat.
by Dang Hu Dat on Oct 10, 2010 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions

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