Saints Predict-A-Poll: The Passing Game
We've already covered the future of the Saints running and receiving games in our Predict-A-Poll series of posts so it's only natural to discuss passing as well. Obviously when we talk about what's in store for the Saints passing game next season, we're really talking about one man and his possible accomplishments: Drew Brees.
Drew is the driving force behind the Saints offense. The heart and soul. The beginning and the end. The toad and the wet sprocket. As Brees goes, so go the Saints. Fortunately, he's put up superb numbers his entire time in New Orleans with no signs of slowing down.
So today I'm asking: What kind of numbers will Drew put up next season? Will he once again complete more than 70% of his passes? Will his passer rating exceed 100.0? How many interceptions will he throw? Or will he succumb to the curse of the Madden cover?
For easy reference and to help you prognosticate, here are Drew's stats from the last four years:
Cmp
Att
Cmp%
Yds
Yds/Att
Long
TD
Int
Sacks
Sk Yds
Rating
2006
356
554
64.3
4418
8.0
86
26
11
18
105
96.3
2007
440
652
67.5
4423
6.8
58
28
18
16
109
89.4
2008
413
635
65.0
5069
8.0
84
34
17
13
92
96.3
2009
363
514
70.6
4388
8.5
75
34
11
20
135
109.6
Remember, the purpose of this series of posts will be to record everyone's predictions about the 2010 Saints season, with each post covering a specific topic. While this specific post may be discussing the performance of Drew Brees in particular, feel free to elaborate and go into detail about any and all of your prognostications regarding the Saints passing game next season or the performance of any other quarterback on the roster. After the season, we will go back to this post and others like it for a good laugh or a pat on the back.
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The toad and the wet sprocket?
Love it, Dave!! I think Drew will pass for more than 30 TDs, but I’m not sure about the QB rating and completion percentage. I think he’s more likely to achive the 100+ rating than the completion percentage. Looking at the schedule, I think they will be facing some better or improved defenses over the course of the regular season this year than they did last year.
"The Saints made the right decision signing Drew Brees-not just in terms of his arm, but because of his heart and mind." - Marshall Faulk
two years ago...
he almost breaks the single season yards record and then last year he breaks the completion percentage record, maybe this year he’ll go for the TD record!!
dont forget the completion record in 2007
I love it when a plan comes together! -Hannibal
by DrewBreesManCrush on Jul 1, 2010 1:53 PM CDT up reply actions
I’m going with 35+. A slight digression in the running game, coupled with more efficient opposing offenses than last season, should push Brees to keep pace. I think Meachem’s role will continue to increase. His YPC will inevitably lead to less TOP per drive, and quite possibly a few more offensive possessions over the course of the season. Also, the addition of Jimmy Graham may also skew the pass/run ratio in the red zone even further towards the former. Outside of injury, there’s truly nothing to suggest that Brees’ TD numbers will diminish.
"I was not on the boat in question." -Darren Sharper
LMAO
Why is it that Peyton Manning wins the league MVP every year but Brees is setting all the records and winning the SB ?? Seems like somethings afoul somewhere here , what do you folk have to say ? Don’t you think Brees out plays Manning , he just beat him in the SB and remember , Manning has (1) SB win for 12 years of playing on the same team !
The league MVP is announced prior to the SB. The two teams had identical records going in and Manning had comparable statistics. I don’t think it was that much of a stretch, considering his reputation as one of the league’s elite QBs. With a SB ring on his finger, I would think Brees gains stronger consideration this time around, assuming all things are relatively equal again otherwise. To be perfectly honest, I would have probably voted Chris Johnson over either one of them in ‘09. Primarily because I feel a solid running game is more important to a team’s success, than an elite QB. Both help each other tremendously, obviously.
"I was not on the boat in question." -Darren Sharper
i would've voted for CJ too.
not because i think a running game is more important but because he had the best year out of all of them statistically speaking on a team that had no passing game untill VY came back and it still wasn’t spectacular after he came back. Teams went to stop the run and he still had lots of yards. Plus, unless i’m mistaken, then CJ broke the total yards from scrimmage record. If i’m mistaken then he was ridiculously close. He should’ve been MVP easy and Brees the year before him for his 5000 yard+ season.
Superbowl bound!!!...I know! do you?! Go Saints!!
I noticed that Manning is on the Wheaties box!
There are also four other “personalities” currently on Wheaties. A basketball player, a baseball player, plus a couple of triathalon and decathlon dudes. I think those Russian spies are mixed up in this somehow. I’m sure of it.
Fat, dumb, and happy. Hell, two out of three ain't bad!
I Want To Die In My Sleep Like My Grandpa – Not Screaming and Yelling Like His Passengers.
by Just 'Nother Day on Jul 1, 2010 7:13 PM CDT up reply actions
I would agree
and also add that Brees does not get the media attention that Manning does. During the season how many times during a non Colts game do you see him on commercials and other media outlets. Doesn’t make it right or wrong, just that with comparable stats, his exposure ma have a little effect on the voting too. Just a thought.
It's inconceivable to think
that Brees will again reach his 70% completion percentage or the 8.5 YPA which is an incredible number. Now i have to think Brees plays all 16 games unlike last year. His attempts last year were the lowest in his tenure at N.O. and barring injury to our running game that number will probably stay about the same.
Additionally if our defense does improve, we’ll obviously rely less on our passing game late due to our propensity to put points up on the board and hopefully sustain a lead. I’d look for something in the range of 66% completion 4400 yards, 35 TDs 12 picks with an overall QB rating however right around the century mark.
Predictions
4500+ yds,
97+ QB rating,
32+ TD’s,
66+ comp%,
550+ att
Overall, the passing game will be AWESOME.
30-34.......
I was suprized to see my poll choice match the poll ? Coming of the big win Saints fans are quite conservative . It can’t be schedule . It is quite favorable as a whole . Signings . Not really the Brown trade balances out the losses . Off the field issues . Why ? Unless Saint’s fans know what the sanctions will be for the legal issues . Suspensions ? Doubt it . Why the lack of confidence ? Brees is set to exceed expectations . Why the gothic view ????
We had 42 years to get used to disappointment. One year of joy doesn’t cancel all that out overnight.
by FriarBob on Jul 1, 2010 1:44 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
It doesn't?
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by Dave Cariello on Jul 1, 2010 3:26 PM CDT up reply actions
i like to call it being reasonable.
but if you want us to show extra enthusiam i’ll predict Brees has 68 TD passes this season. Double what he got last year since we won the SB :D
Superbowl bound!!!...I know! do you?! Go Saints!!
140% completion ratio?
"We've got 27 ways to add up to 11 (players on the field). I came up with another one last night." -- Greg Williams
Is that reverse physcology GP?
Seriously we`re up against some blitz-happy teams this year… the Steelers and Ravens
gave us a whole lot of problems in 2006 and will probably run on us a fair bit so
TOP will factor there. Also going to Dallas on thanksgiving won`t be easy plus a fired
up Vikings team 1st up will be coming hard….
Onthe flip side we play the Browns and Rams which (in theory) should pad the stats
so I`ll say 30+ with a mid eighties rating
Where next?
Crikey
Hats off to your calculations. To be honest I have no idea how these
rating numbers are worked out , maybe I should have stuck at 30+ TD`s
and paid more attention to algebra all those years ago.
Where next?
I say between 25 and 30 TDs, right around 4000 yards and 65% completion
we’ll have one receiver go over 1000 yards receiving, two more get at least 800 yards, one RB going over 1000 yards rushing, and two more get at least 500.
Anyone else want a sip?
We've got 27 ways to add up to 11 (players on the field). I came up with another one last night. -- GW
a sip of the rushing game kool-aid, I mean
We've got 27 ways to add up to 11 (players on the field). I came up with another one last night. -- GW
by Hans Petersen on Jul 1, 2010 4:11 PM CDT up reply actions
Still no mention of PJ. Duly noted.
War, it ain't nothing but a heartbreaker
War, it's got one friend
That's the undertaker
PJ will rush for at least 500 yards. All this of course will be done in camp and the preseason as he rushes from the water cooler to various areas of the bench helping clean up discarded and used towels.
thanks, Stu. Duly acknowledged that you duly noted it.
We've got 27 ways to add up to 11 (players on the field). I came up with another one last night. -- GW
by Hans Petersen on Jul 1, 2010 7:48 PM CDT up reply actions
i voted for 35+
i think the loss of Bell has a possibility of hurting our running game especially since Payton didnt use Bush to run the ball very much last season. Bell also didn’t have very many catches out of the backfield(at least that i can remember) so that has a possibility to mean more swing passes and screens to Bush/PT. I’m saying 38 TDs, 4700 yards, 68.5% completion rate, 13 or less Ints, and a QB rating over 99. I’m fairly optimistic and don’t see a reason why his #s would drop. I can only see things changing if there are injuries to the RBs or important defensive players.
Superbowl bound!!!...I know! do you?! Go Saints!!
Voted 35+
I’ll go with 37 on TD passes and 4,400yds for Drew. His QB rating will be hovering near the century mark, a tick above or below with his 10-13 interceptions.
My belief is that Reggie will get a lot more looks in the passing game this year along with Pierre and the screen plays he does so well with.
GEAUX S88S!! Konichiwa!!
30+
I’ll say 34 TD’s
69% completion rate
101 rating
4200 yards (I see alot more running plays in the 4th qtr.)
I think we will have only 1 WR over 1,000 yards, Colston.
35+ sounds about right
I see even more TD passes to our RBBC and tight ends this year. Last year was the first time I think I ever heard an announcer say that the Saints did a good job with screen passes. I expect much more of those this year.
"Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake." -- Napoleon Bonaparte

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