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The NFL Draft and no CBA



I wanted to create a post regarding the upcoming draft in April and what it would mean to the draft process if no CBA was in place at that point.  Now most of us are well aware that the CBA is scheduled to expire on the third of March 2011, over a full month before the NFL draft.  Now, most of us are also aware that this could mean a lockout, aka, the owners would essentially be able to lock the doors to all the teams facilities and not allow the players to go to work etc, etc.  However, I'm willing to bet more than a few of you aren't aware of just how the no CBA wrinkle truly affects the draft and draft process.

Star-divide

With no CBA means no free agency.  No teams will be allowed to pursue free agents as well as statements being made by teams that no teams will resign players without a CBA as well.  Normally free agency starts around the end of the first week in March.  This allows the prime free agents and role players to be signed or resigned by teams well before the final draft preparations begin.  In short, teams have a head start on spotting their areas of need in order to round out their team come draft day.  This year, however, that obviously will not be the case.  What does this mean for the New Orleans Saints....well it means there are 28 players on our 53 man roster that will be 100% up in the air come draft day not to mention the handful of players that are expected to be considered restricted free agents as well.

 

The oddities don't stop there.  Not only will teams not be able to sign free agents in order to get a better understanding of the makeup of their team before the draft, but also the draft process itself will change.  Remember the trading of Pat Swilling that nabbed us all world tackle Willie Roaf? Well forget about it.  Not only can teams not sign players....they aren't allowed to trade them either.  That means no pre-draft trades, but also over 50% of the trades you see on draft day also cannot happen.  The only trades that will be allowed to be made will be draft picks for draft picks, not a combination of picks and players.

 

So...what does all this mean?  Well....potentially the most boring draft in NFL history.  Expect draft day trades to be incredibly rare.  No longer will you probably see a team trade up (like the Jets a few years ago to nab Sanchez) for a coveted player.  The reasoning is simple....with so few teams rosters set, teams will not have the luxury of targeting specific individuals or specific areas of concern, especially the New Orleans Saints and our 28 UFAs.  Now more than ever if there is no collective bargaining agreement expect a standard "Best Player Available" approach by almost every team in the NFL.  Literally.  I'm not talking a scenario where they take the BPA if it falls in one of 3-4 positions.  I'm talking the BPA period in the minds of a lot of people regardless of position.  When a team has unknown holes to fill at almost every position due to free agency not being in place, teams can hardly afford to pass up a player if he is ranked higher on their board for one who would normally be a better "need fit".  Also this would allow teams once the CBA is completed, to sign and trade those draft day deals to other teams in exchange for players that would be a better fit after the process has taken place (For those of you who are a little foggy on this, consider the NBA draft where it is quite common for teams to draft say two point point guards early in order to trade one to another team for say a power forward and a bench player or two).

 

Now, if we're all lucky and people like Richardson and Jerry Jones don't get their way, the new CBA will hopefully be in place before all this happens.  However, a little something called reality seems to be squawking in my ear telling me this just won't be.  Now I have faith that the CBA will indeed be in place before next season begins, however, it won't surprise me if it doesn't happen until July/August.  So, don't be surprised to see the Saints draft a center in Mike Pouncey or say a Julio Jones or Stephen Paea if they slide down draft boards.  As the days go by, it seems we're drawing closer and closer to one of the most intriguing, if less than action filled, draft days in the history of the NFL.

This FanPost was written by a reader and member of Canal Street Chronicles. It does not necessarily reflect the views of CSC and its staff or editors.

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If any of those guys slide down to #24

I might go bat**** crazy.

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by Jon Banks on Jan 17, 2011 12:35 PM CST reply actions  

Just wondering....

Maybe worth beating the crowd and offer deals ahead of March 4th…?

Bring the metal....

by bondcrash on Jan 17, 2011 12:59 PM CST reply actions  

Some teams are doing that. Some aren’t. I think those that are are pretty smart and those that aren’t are pretty foolish. For our most critical guys, guys who might leave but would like to stay and are extremely useful to the team (especially Lance, and maybe even PT), I hope PayLoo are strongly considering doing just that.

by FriarBob on Jan 17, 2011 1:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Last season the FA started March 6th… so one year forward that is when the CBA is expired… just wondering could they somehow do it?

Bring the metal....

by bondcrash on Jan 17, 2011 1:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I don’t know that BPA will take any more precedence than it typically does, being that there’s no guarantee you’ll have a willing trade partner down the line. Most GMs will likely just work under the assumption that any unsigned player isn’t coming back and base their needs upon those increased vacancies. If the Saints draft a WR for example, they may use negotiations with Moore (or another UFA WR) as leverage to get that draft pick to sign first, or vice versa. That being when they finally get the green light to sign players period. I’d be willing to bet that more draft picks ultimately make NFL rosters this year than ever before, being that they’ll be viewed as the cheapest, surest options out there. Sure, teams will attempt to improve upon them in post-draft free agency, and in many cases will, but when it comes down to a run-of-the-mill veteran to push a late round draft pick, I just don’t think you’re going to see the same sense of urgency in cases like that. They’re going to rather sit on that money and take the wait-and see approach with the younger guys.

"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper

by coldpizza on Jan 17, 2011 1:39 PM CST reply actions  

Another big deal about the CBA and the draft

Teams can’t sign undrafted free agents until the new CBA is in place. I know it impacts all teams, but heck, it seems like half the Saints roster are undrafted free agents. Not good for us.

"I want to hand this trophy to the MVP of the Super Bowl -- and the MVP of the entire league.''
-- Saints coach Sean Payton, handing the Vince Lombardi Trophy to Drew Brees after Super Bowl 44.

by VAsaintsfan on Jan 18, 2011 7:24 AM CST reply actions  

A bit overstated. The Saints truly don’t have any more UDFAs on their roster than the average NFL team. Starters? Maybe slightly above average, but that’s merely indicative of the team’s lack of depth at those positions. They’re also higher profile positions (like RB), which lends itself to that misconception. Quite a number of teams have UDFAs as OL depth, for example. Out of sight, out of mind.

"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper

by coldpizza on Jan 18, 2011 8:18 AM CST up reply actions  

Instead of BPA...I think we should go for BPA -TNIP

Best Player Available That’s Not Injury Prone!!!!

If Pro is the opposite of Con, what is the opposite of Progress? Congress!
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by Philinwood on Jan 18, 2011 5:35 PM CST reply actions  

I tend to factor all of that into the B part.

"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper

by coldpizza on Jan 18, 2011 6:10 PM CST up reply actions  

I wonder what it will do to FA value once a CBA is reached

Since the draft will be over, I would assume thier demand will be higher and price more expensive. In the past a team may have dropped out of the bidding for a FA whose price was too high, assuming they would target a draft prospect instead. This time around, they may have no choice but to overpay for somebody they desperately need.

In Breesus' name we play

by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 20, 2011 3:03 PM CST reply actions  

That or piecemeal it with UDFAs until something better falls in your lap, a la PayLoo @ RB.

"I was not on the boat in question" -Darren Sharper

by coldpizza on Jan 20, 2011 9:38 PM CST up reply actions  

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