FanPost

QBR Predictor?

So everyone is going nuts trying to figure out why / how Tebow is winning. Some fella wrote an article about this explaining why / how this is happening. Basically it boiled down to QBR. His thought was that Tebow simply outplays the other QB and the QBR differential shows that whenever Tebow's QBR was higher than his opponents, the Broncos would win. So I got curious and did a quick chart on excel to see if there were any correleations between the Saints victories to Brees' QBR rating vs opponents. Find out more after the jump.

So.. here's the link to the article that makes the case for Tebow: Tebow QBR - Victory

Here's a quick chart outlining how Brees has done hitherto:

Week

Opponent

Drew Brees QBR

Opponent QBR

Differential

W or L

1

Packers

71.6

91.1

-19.5

L

2

Bears

72.3

34.2

38.1

W

3

Texans

76.5

74.7

1.8

W

4

Jaguars

62.1

12.1

50.0

W

5

Panthers

86.7

64.0

22.7

W

6

Buccaneers

60.4

57.7

2.7

L

7

Colts

97.2

23.8

73.4

W

8

Rams

31.6

23.3

8.3

L

9

Buccaneers

87.9

61.3

26.6

W

10

Falcons

91.7

55.0

36.7

W

11

Bye

12

Giants

92.8

67.4

25.4

W

13

Lions

84.7

63.3

21.4

W

Max

97.2

91.1

73.4

Min

31.6

12.1

-19.5

Std Dev

18.5

23.8

24.5

Avg

76.3

52.3

24.0

So what do you think? The only time Brees had a negative differential was the loss to the Packers. Other losses show a smaller margin. The Texans game shows a very small margin, but we still got the win.

Is QBR the way to go on this thing? Any thoughts?

Have a great week!

This FanPost was written by a reader and member of Canal Street Chronicles. It does not necessarily reflect the views of CSC and its staff or editors.

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