Saints @ 49ers: Interview with the Enemy
We're just three days away from kickoff in the Saints Divisional round matchup vs. the San Francisco 49ers this Saturday. Are you starting to get pumped!?
To help pass the time and quench your thirst for non-stop Saints vs. Niners coverage, we've got a little question and answer series to share with the opposition's SB Nation blogger as we get closer to kickoff this Divisional weekend.
Like last week we've got another classy blogger from an equally classy blog, David Fucillo from SB Nation's Niners Nation, to help us learn more. Make the jump to read David's answers to my questions and check out Niners Nation for my answers to his.
I'd like to thank David from taking time to answer my questions.
Dave Cariello: A big deal is being made about the field in San Francisco as if the Saints have never played there. What's different or unique about the grass at Candlestick that should be cause for concern?
David Fucillo: The grass versus turf issue has become a common refrain among 49ers fans as one of the reasons the 49ers can beat the Saints. I think the primary reason it has been brought up is because of the statistical difference in the Saints performance outdoors versus indoors. The Saints are a good team no matter what, but there does seem to be a noticeable difference when they are out in the elements.
As for the grass at Candlestick, the field itself is technically below sea level and even with a forecast of 60 and sunny this weekend, the field itself will retain a certain measure of moisture. I don't know if the groundskeepers will let the sprinklers run a little long, but it will not be nearly as firm as the turf at the Superdome. Maybe it will make a difference, maybe it won't, but given the numbers 49ers fans do consider it notable.
Dave C: What do you think will be the most important matchup in this game?
David F: I think there are three notable matchups worth some discussion. The first is Aldon Smith versus Jermon Bushrod (and any double teams the Saints use). Aldon is a co-favorite with Von Miller for Defensive Rookie of the Year after finishing the season with 14 sacks. Aldon (too many Smiths on the 49ers!) played primarily out of the team's nickel defense and given the Saints passing tendencies, you can expect to see a lot of Aldon. The 49ers need to get pressure on Brees to slow down the Saints passing attack and Aldon is as much a part of that as anybody.
The second is Patrick Willis & Co. versus Jimmy Graham. The Saints have numerous weapons, but Jimmy Graham is arguably the most complete threat in that group. Patrick Willis will draw the primary coverage assignment while FS Dashon Goldson and SS Donte Whitner will also lend a hand at times. Graham is a monster of a man and this could be one of the most intriguing matchups of the entire postseason. Graham and Willis are both athletic beasts and even though I want to see the 49ers pound the Saints, I also love seeing matchups like this that test just how great Patrick Willis can be.
The third "matchup" will be Greg Roman and the offensive line against Gregg Williams the Saints pass rush. The Saints blew up the 49ers in the preseason with an overload of blitzes. The 49ers struggled in large part because they really weren't sufficiently prepared for it. The offensive line has had time to gel and will be game-planning around Gregg Williams' blitzing schemes.
Dave C: How did Alex Smith finally turn the corner this year? Does he have the ability to win this game by himself if needed?
David F: The 2011 version of Alex Smith has been an intriguing player to watch. The 49ers have basically implemented a brand new offense on the fly this season, so it is still operating with plenty of hiccups along the way. Smith has hit career highs in almost every passing category and yet some folks would argue he really isn't that different a QB than in years' past.
I think the big difference is the confidence Jim Harbaugh has instilled in him. Since he first met with Smith after he was hired to as recently as last week, Coach Harbaugh has nothing but positive things to say about Alex Smith. At times the man-crush can be amusingly awkward, but Smith is in the best position he has ever been in with the 49ers. He has had solid weapons in recent years, but he's always had defensive head coaches that have thrown him under the bus at the first sign of trouble. Coach Harbaugh has had his back from day one. It is a bit cliched and doesn't point to specific skill improvement or statistical differences. But this is an instance where confidence has been the key.
Can he win the game by himself? I think to a certain extent he can make quite a few plays, but I also don't think the 49ers are built for Alex Smith to be needing to throw for 300+ yards and four touchdowns. If the 49ers need that from Smith, their defense has failed them and they probably aren't going to win the game. Alex Smith can make plays and the Giants game is an example where the team put more of the game-plan in Smith's hands. I don't know if he will ever be a consistent 300+ yard, 3-4 TD threat, and I'm fine with that because that is not the nature of the game plan. The team is built around a great defense and special teams unit looking to give the 49ers the advantage in field position and make life easier on the offense.
Dave C: If you could pluck one player from the Saints roster (other than Drew) and put him on the Niners, who would it be and why?
David F: I'd have to say Jimmy Graham. This is not a knock on the 49ers current tight ends, but I have no problem adding a dominant tight end into the mix. Vernon Davis is a play-maker and Delanie Walker is as versatile as the come, playing TE, WR, fullback and h-back all in the same game. However, in part due to Walker likely missing this weekend's game, I wouldn't mind seeing Graham in a 49ers uniform.
The 49ers offense utilizes the tight ends in a variety of ways and uses a two tight end base for the most part. Although the 49ers will likely be short Walker on Saturday, you'll still see a mix of heavy lineups featuring multiple tight ends, nose tackle Isaac Sopoaga helping out as a fullback and other such mixes. The 49ers can pass from such sets, which make them all the more dangerous. Adding in Jimmy Graham would make that unit go from great to ridiculous.
Dave C: Complete this sentence: Every time the 49ers _________ I want to gouge my eyes out with a dull, rusty spoon.
David F: "run on 3rd and long inside the opponents' red zone" - They don't do this all the time, but there were a couple instances of that in Week 16 that drove me crazy. The 49ers had some issues in the red zone for much of the season, but over the final three weeks they started to get it together, scoring six touchdowns in nine trips. The 49ers will need to take full advantage of any red zone opportunities to make this a manageable game.
Dave C: Care to make a quick prediction?
David F: 49ers 27 - Saints 23
Aside from the 49ers winning a huge shootout, there are few results that would surprise me in this game. I never pick my 49ers to lose so don't be stunned by my prediction of a 49ers win. The 49ers could very well give up a ton of yards to the Saints offense, but if they can keep them out of the end zone they can win this game. Shocking, I know. The 49ers have given up plenty of yards to solid quarterbacks this season, but they've won because they have clamped down in the red zone. If the 49ers can keep the Saints from scoring the long TDs and shut them down in the red zone, they can win this game.
194 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Looking forward to the Graham-Willis matchup as well
Jimmy want.
Jimmy score.
Jimmy dunk.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 11:22 AM CST reply actions
Moving Graham around is gonna be big
Easiest way to avoid, or create an advantage in, the Willis matchup.
Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook
Just this....
The 49ers have given up plenty of yards to solid quarterbacks this season, but they’ve won because they have clamped down in the red zone.
The Saints can and often do score from “outside” the red zone.
I'm not stunned you pick the 49ers
What stuns me is you think 27-24 is a huge shoot out
Thats more like a bad offensive day for the Saints
by mississippisaintsfan on Jan 11, 2012 12:02 PM CST reply actions
He was saying that he would be surprised if the 49ers won in a shootout
not that 27-24 is a shootout. Reason being that if it turns into a shootout, 49er fans know we don’t have the offensive firepower to keep up.
"We ask no quarter, we give no quarter" - Jim Harbaugh
Don't confuse a reluctance to air it out with an inability to do so
The Niners fell into a deep hole against Philly and aired it out in the second half to overcome a 20 point deficit in the 3rd qtr.
Loosing Morgan, Edwards getting injured, and Crabs recovering from his foot injury all impacted the use and growth of the passing game. Crabs is much more in-sync, Vernon has been getting more targets, and the O-line has done a bit better in pass protection (they are still better at run blocking though). Walker being out hurts, but with the bye week I expect solid performances from our backups.
I expect this to be a good game and really think it could go either way. My primary concern is that even if SF takes a lead that they really have to keep the pedal to the floor as NO is a team that has the firepower to come back quickly.
by ColoradoNiner on Jan 11, 2012 1:05 PM CST up reply actions
Hey
You make something out of Crabtree. A lot of people have been calling him Grabs or Grabtree though, and I like that.
I'm just a simple Giants fan trying to make my way in the universe.
by Tim Lincecum's Bong on Jan 11, 2012 3:42 PM CST up reply actions
we should introduce you to Fat Punk Kicker
Having the ball is better than not having the ball. And if you punt,
not only does it mean you don't have the ball anymore—
it means you didn't score, which sucks.
by Hans Petersen on Jan 11, 2012 6:44 PM CST up reply actions
Hey now
you don’t have to be a Saints fan to appreciate all the wonderful things that come out of Scott Fujita’s mouth- met him back in the day; an extremely good dude.
I feel bad for him that he has to play in Cleveland.
"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will
by lottwasgangsta on Jan 11, 2012 6:49 PM CST up reply actions
yeah - we missed Fuj a bit last year and this year, too
And there’s a CSC user with the handle Fat Punk Kicker – and he acts like he’s really Garrett Hartley…
Having the ball is better than not having the ball. And if you punt,
not only does it mean you don't have the ball anymore—
it means you didn't score, which sucks.
by Hans Petersen on Jan 11, 2012 6:57 PM CST up reply actions
He sold out.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 7:48 PM CST up reply actions
I’d play anywhere but in cleveland. I think of Cleveland as the only place that will look the same after armaggedon!
Haters gon' hate...
But according to this guy...
Cleveland Rocks!

This isn't about rules, it's about manners. Now there's no rule that says that I cant come over here and fart on your entree. But I don't do it. Why? Because it's not good manners.
How 'bout Mr. Krabs?
![]()
This isn't about rules, it's about manners. Now there's no rule that says that I cant come over here and fart on your entree. But I don't do it. Why? Because it's not good manners.
When we drafted him
We couldn’t WAIT to give opposing offenses a dose of Crabs and VD (Vernon Davis)!
It’s affectionately stuck.
"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will
by lottwasgangsta on Jan 11, 2012 6:48 PM CST up reply actions
yeah, prepare for a big dose of Crabs and V.D.!
by Andrew9erfan on Jan 11, 2012 8:23 PM CST up reply actions
maybe we should get pre-inoculated
isn’t there a VACCINE?
Having the ball is better than not having the ball. And if you punt,
not only does it mean you don't have the ball anymore—
it means you didn't score, which sucks.
by Hans Petersen on Jan 11, 2012 8:27 PM CST up reply actions
Saints offensive line really has to step up.
Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook
In reality
Saints O-line needs to keep doing what it has been doing since the Rams game.
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
Yeah, I've just been burned enough this week that I need to see 'em do it again lol.
Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook
by Billy Gomila on Jan 11, 2012 12:18 PM CST up reply actions
O-line,
Special teams, bad play call…oops, sorry Billy, wrong blog…. :)
"Move over Marino, there's a new Brees coming through town!"-Jim Henderson
You can just put "whole team"
Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook
by Billy Gomila on Jan 11, 2012 3:52 PM CST up reply actions
Bingo
I have a feeling this game is going to come down to the success or failure of our run game. If we can get the run game going, which will require very physical play from our line, it will mess with the 9ers game plan along with the other well-documented benefits of a successful run game. Easier said than done, though, against the best run defense in the league.
Also, I keep forgetting this, but I think our loss to St. Louis ought to have an asterisk by it. Not because of the O-line injuries, but because the Cardinals won the freakin’ World Series the day before. We were doomed from the start!
I disagree
I think they will shut our run game down for the most part so the game will come down to the success of our passing game.
Yeah, that seems to be the assumption by most analysts, too, which is reasonable considering the strength of their run defense. Add in that it’s apparently physically painful for Payton to call too many run plays (I kid, I kid) and it’s even more reasonable.
I just have a feeling that the O-line and running backs are chomping at the bit for this chance and I think Pierre’s going to turn a few heads again this weekend as well.
Hmmm…I’ll have to build this into my predictions this week to keep myself accountable now.
I don't doubt they feel like they have something to prove
I was listening to an interview with PT this week. He said the backs all came together this season and said we have to prove to Payton we can do this. I know they want to keep on proving they are capable, especially in the playoffs.
I think though that the smart thing to do is play to their weaknesses which would mean running up the score using our passing game, knowing they can’t pass block like they can run block, and their offense can’t put up the near the same amount of points that Drew can.
I am really interested to see what happens, that’s for sure!!!
A little of both
to put the ball in the air exclusively will make your team very one dimensional and allow us to rush like a pack of wolves. I’m not saying to run often, but to keep us honest. One big gain by Sproles will pay dividends. I say to keep running to force us to respect it. Sproles will give us the most fits but Thomas needs to get some runs up the gut to soften the D.
very good.
but it is a weakness. Go to Bowman’s side. He doesn’t give much but thats where you’re more likely to get the big break. That is where Sproles will get more wiggle room. Payton is cooking up something special, question is what…
we have a good defense in all categories
If you are going to attack us it is with the screen, hoping for Goldson to miss on a big hit, and marching down the field with comeback routes. You have the quarterback that will take what is given and can keep his lid on until the big play finally shows up
What McWagner said
It’s one of the few parts of our run defense that isn’t impenetrable, but it’s still pretty good.
One of the reasons Bowman has so many tackles this year is opponents have pretty much run in the opposite direction of Patrick Willis. Problem is, Bowman is nearly as good, and our safeties fill well in run support.
"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will
by lottwasgangsta on Jan 11, 2012 6:53 PM CST up reply actions
The last few years it's been like a rare exotic animal they've never seen before
… this years with the infusion of Bowman and Fangio , they’ve studied this new creature and seem to know it’s habits …!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
Dang Waggy , she Duh'd you ...
… you must now sit and ponder your misgivings …!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
Yeah, I'm really pumped for this game.
I have a feeling it’s going to be exciting throughout and just an all-around competitive game.
95 Yards
If we get 95 yards from the running game, I will call that a successful outing and I think we win the game. Given that we’ve averaged closer to 150 over the last few weeks, I think this is very attainable. Running gets shut down, and I believe we’re in trouble….
Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we die!
WHO DAT?!
TWO DAT!!
by LA_No1_SaintFan on Jan 11, 2012 3:36 PM CST up reply actions
Total yardage doesn't matter
One long run setting up a field goal and a whole evening of 2.1 per carry and we’re dead.
I want to see us average over 4 a carry. That gets the play action working, draws up the safeties, frees Jimmy Graham downfield and POW!
"Sinn Féin, motherf*****s!"
See game in Atlanta
True, we won in overtime, but we won. That may be a BAD analogy, though.
"I don't suffer from drug addiction. I enjoy it very much."
by cajuncreation on Jan 11, 2012 3:42 PM CST up reply actions
179.7...
that’s our average rushing yards per game over the last 3 games. (that could be the last three games of the regular season.
Not so fast, my friend!
The 49ers have not faced an offensive line like that of the Saints. Nicks and Evans are going to come out and make it a point to show that they are indeed the best guard tandem ever in the NFL! I think we come out and punch them in the mouth and take the crowd out of the game from the get-go. I know I have said we’ll get over 100 rushing yards, but I actually think we’ll be over 150.
by BlackandGold4ever on Jan 11, 2012 3:49 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Wow...
Just wow.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
by Virginia9er on Jan 11, 2012 3:50 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Yes, that is what you’ll say when you see the interior of our line play this weekend. Just like the Atlanta fans and even one of our own on this blog thought there was no possible way we’d have any success running the ball against them last time we played. I’m sure they were all just as dismayed.
by BlackandGold4ever on Jan 11, 2012 3:53 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
The 49ers run defense is better than Falcons by 30 YPG, and the Falcons are 6th in the league. That is how good this run defense is…
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
True. But did you happen to check for how many yards we ran over them? I’ll save you the trouble, it was 164 at a clip of 7.1 YPC.
Our year-long averages, counting several outings against BAD teams, was 132.9 YPG and 4.9 YPC.
So… we faced a team that was 30 YPG less than you, but we beat our average by 32 yards and 2.2 YPC.
Does that guarantee anything? Nope. Absolutely not. But as I’ve told a few other overconfident niner fans, neither does your past performance against crappy teams guarantee anything against us, either.
by FriarBob on Jan 11, 2012 4:30 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
You may get around 100, I still doubt that, but it's possible
There is no way the Saints go over 150…
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
maybe you guys should make a bet on this
and when it’s over, the loser has to say, “I was wrrrrrr.. wrrrro…..wrrrrooooonnn…wrong!”
Having the ball is better than not having the ball. And if you punt,
not only does it mean you don't have the ball anymore—
it means you didn't score, which sucks.
by Hans Petersen on Jan 11, 2012 6:47 PM CST up reply actions
A favorite saying of mine
“Somebody is wrong on the internet.”
by BlackandGold4ever on Jan 12, 2012 8:33 AM CST up reply actions
The fact that I just read that on the internet
makes me think it must be false.
This isn't about rules, it's about manners. Now there's no rule that says that I cant come over here and fart on your entree. But I don't do it. Why? Because it's not good manners.
There is a 57% chance it is false
And a 47.3645Batmansignal345% chance that it is correct.
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
If Niner fans are overconfident
Then Saints fans are drowning in their confidence
David Akers is the Tebow of kickers
yep
--- I don't miss the alcohol as much as I miss having the built in reason on why I'm nekkid in public.
--- I used to want to be an inspiration to my son. now i just hope to be a dire warning.
--- just two men and a dog making candles
--- I know i'll win my battles though i fear we'll lose the war
--- if you find yourself in a fair fight you failed in planning.
We will school your line
We will, like, push over and stuff. They will be on their cabooses more than their feet. Then the Smiths will slam Brees to the turf. You won’t be able to tell where Brees ends and the grass begins. Justin Smith will be like, “Dear God, that’s a mess”. The rookie is puking his guts at the sight. And You guys will be all like, “Oh…” and we will be all like “yes!”. And Sean Payton will be all like, “I can’t go to San Francisco! Jim Harbaugh is there and he laughs at me” And Jim Harbaugh will be all like, “HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!”
I can paint a pretty picture too.
Ask Jared Allen how his quest for the sack record got derailed when we played the Vikings and then ask me how scared I am of your pass rush. Last time I looked, y’all were the ones with the most sacked QB in the league. Nobody really brings that up much for some reason…
by BlackandGold4ever on Jan 11, 2012 3:55 PM CST up reply actions
its a little embarassing
shows how tough AleX is for not missing a snap. Also shows that Greg Williams is licking his chops at Anthony Davis.
Roethlisberger
was the most sacked.
And I’ve seen the Saints play. A lot- I know how good your guards and Bushrod are.
Still no way you hang 150 yards on our run defense. Saying that just means you have NOT seen it.
"Football combines the two worst things about America: It is violence punctuated by committee meetings" -George Will
by lottwasgangsta on Jan 11, 2012 6:56 PM CST up reply actions
Skimmed through most of the comments
But I don’t think many of us(if any) expect to hang 150 on you. 100 and a TD or two, but that’s about it.
Mark Ingram-OROY
Cam Jordan-DROY
New Orleans Saints-2012 Super Bowl Champs
TOP IS GAWD!
Funny you , no reason to be scared sitting on your couch ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
Smith and Gore will be stuffed
I hope your back up QB can play too because Smith is going down. Harper will take him out. I see 3 sacks and 2 picks from Alex Smith. Gore will only get 60 to 65 yards rushing. Thomas, Ivory and Sproles combine will rush over 120 yards. The 49ers kickers will be real busy Saturday.
Saints 38 49ers 20
Ninth Warder
3 sacks?
that’s nothing for him, he’s dealt with 5 and 6 sack games. Not saying that it’s a good thing, just that he can take a beating and keep playing. He also didn’t throw many picks at all this year.
by Andrew9erfan on Jan 11, 2012 8:31 PM CST up reply actions
9 sacks in Baltimore
Smith is a tough [site decorum]. Only way you get him out of this game is if one of his old coaches takes over.
That's some solid visions you are having.
2 INT after 10 all season? 38 points? Honey Badger going down?
LOLcats.
Gore for 65 is OK. Another 50 for Hunter. And 1 yards (T) for Boobie.
You never want to be one-dimensional in the playoffs
The Saints are always going to rely on the pass first, but they need to at least be able to threaten with the running game. And if it’s a tight game, the running game needs to be able to help close things out.
Writer (and a handsome one at that),
And the Valley Shook
by Billy Gomila on Jan 11, 2012 3:53 PM CST up reply actions
our running game is good
damn good
--- I don't miss the alcohol as much as I miss having the built in reason on why I'm nekkid in public.
--- I used to want to be an inspiration to my son. now i just hope to be a dire warning.
--- just two men and a dog making candles
--- I know i'll win my battles though i fear we'll lose the war
--- if you find yourself in a fair fight you failed in planning.
Agree 100% Running will be ineffective against this team.
To win, Brees will have to make it rain (again).
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 7:50 PM CST up reply actions
Why are we even talking about running the ball
Why would we even waste a play call running against this D? You think it will fool them into thinking we aren’t going to pass? They’re all of a sudden going to forget Drew Brees is on our team? They are praying for Drew to handoff.
Here’s how it’s going down:
Saints will pass a lot because it’s our strength against their relative weakness.
Niners will run a lot to try to keep us off the field because it’s their only hope.
Saints will sell out to stop Gore and make Smith beat us. Gore will be neutralized. Smith won’t be able too keep up with Drew. Before long Saints will have a lead and Niners will abandon run. Smith will have to desperately sling it to try and catch up. He will make mistakes because he is Alex Smith. Drew will capitalize. It will snowball. When it’s all over Saints will have dropped another 40 burger win.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 8:10 PM CST up reply actions
He will make mistakes because he is Alex Smith.
He just had a third all time lowest number of interceptions per season, lost only two fumbles after absorbing league leading 44 sacks. Mistakes is not what he does.
it's ok Mindless they are talking about Alex Smith
not AleX Smith.
Maslow's theory of higher needs does not apply to Patrick Willis. He only has two needs: tackling people and finding people to tackle.
Fine, then, lose by continuing to be conservative to hide his flaws. Keep handing off and kicking FGs, but that’s not going to cut it this week. Smith at best is a mediocre game manager. Ask him to do anymore than that and you will see mistakes.
He just had a third all time lowest number of interceptions per season, lost only two fumbles after absorbing league leading 44 sacks.
Is this supposed to be admirable? Sounds like he just holds on to the ball and gets sacked.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 10:30 PM CST up reply actions
Nope.
Our O-line took quite a while to figure it out.
He took sacks without fumbling and turning the ball over. Vast majority was some very solid decision making.
That is exactly the reason we went from 6-10 to 13-3. Good decision making and discipline.
Leading the league in sacks is just the kind of mistake we need him to make.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 10:34 PM CST up reply actions
Yup what asinine staement ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
“Running will be ineffective against this team.”
Was that sarcasm, BCS?
If not, it should be.
They have a good run defense, but, as with all stats, you need to look behind the numbers… who’d they get those totally amazing numbers against.
(NOTE to 9ers fans: The “totally amazing” is NOT sarcasm. 77.2 yards allowed is awesome!)
We fans
obviously need to work on our reading comprehension skills. Maybe everyone’s already getting drunk.
I'm confused
Maybe everyone’s already getting drunk.
Is this a bad thing?
by Andrew9erfan on Jan 11, 2012 8:33 PM CST up reply actions
It's you
Drew Brees....MVS Most Valuable Saint! Who Dat!!!
by cajuncommando58 on Jan 11, 2012 1:00 PM CST up reply actions
Conspiracy
Lights probably went out in Candlestick as a Niners fan took out the transformer just before the picture was taken.
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
Transformer is fixed.
Game on….
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
by Grumps on Jan 11, 2012 3:43 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Well, two teams with better records than their opponents lost on the road this past weekend…and the Steelers had a significantly better record than the Broncos. So at least we’re not alone.
by BlackandGold4ever on Jan 11, 2012 3:57 PM CST up reply actions
I think you're confused
Niners fan took out the transformer just before the picture was taken.
What does Megatron have to do with this?
by Andrew9erfan on Jan 11, 2012 8:35 PM CST up reply actions
Good stuff Fooch
Pretty much sums up how a lot of us 9er fans feel about the game I think.
Once again you represent us very well.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
Are you guys going to something similar with Dave C. on NN?
I’d be interested to see which player he would take from our team.
$5 says its someone from the defense : )
"We ask no quarter, we give no quarter" - Jim Harbaugh
Justin Smith or Patrick Willis
both could play in any system and be an all-pro. Its hard to pick one player from the Saints as they really do play as a unit and are best with each other. I want the 49ers to cream them, but I have full respect for the Saints.
I'll see that quarter and raise you a dime
Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we die!
WHO DAT?!
TWO DAT!!
by LA_No1_SaintFan on Jan 11, 2012 3:37 PM CST up reply actions
You just ruined my joke. (“We ask no quarter”…get it? Yeah, well I never said it was a good joke.)
"Sinn Féin, motherf*****s!"
Damn!
If I was only a little quicker with the wit tonight…..
or
Maybe everyone’s already getting drunk.
lol
Eat, drink, and be merry, for tomorrow we die!
WHO DAT?!
TWO DAT!!
by LA_No1_SaintFan on Jan 12, 2012 1:20 AM CST up reply actions
yep
I had been planning on scheduling it for tomorrow morning.
by David Fucillo on Jan 11, 2012 6:38 PM CST up reply actions
GO FOOCH
ask those questions. Grill him. Use those lawyer skills. Make ‘em sweat. Honey Badger don’t give a ….
TE Match-Up
The V Davis/Roman Harper match-up will also go a long way in determining the winner. I think we should NOT blitz that much and bracket (double) cover Davis. We might take a chance leaving Crabtree one on one with our CBs, but I’ll take that chance. In addition, our DEs must contain Smith. We need to force him to throw from the pocket. He is much more effective on the move/outside the pocket. I look for the 49ers to move the pocket in anticipation of blitzes by the Saints.
It is interesting how times have changed. The Niners have a serviceable QB and great defense (Saints of late 80’s) and the Saints have a future HOF QB with a high powered offense (49ers of late 80’s). It should be fun to watch. It will be close until the fourth quarter with Saints pulling away. Saints 28 49ers 17
We might take a chance leaving Crabtree one on one with our CBs
Like we did with Megatron?
"Move over Marino, there's a new Brees coming through town!"-Jim Henderson
Ha
But in reality:
Megatron >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Crabtree
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
by Grumps on Jan 11, 2012 3:02 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
And he wasn’t single-covered. He was just much better than the Saints’ DB’s. Crabtree is probably an even match against Robinson or Greer.
"The Colts were punching at it and grabbing for it, trying to get it out. But I didn't care if they broke all my fingers. There was absolutely no way in the world I was going to let go of that ball. That was our ball.''-Chris Reis
by FuSoYa on Jan 11, 2012 3:07 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Fixed a small error
Megatron >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Any human WR
"We ask no quarter, we give no quarter" - Jim Harbaugh
>>>
I think you might have missed a couple.
Honestly with how they’ve been playing recently, I’d be more worried about Crabtree than Vernon. Not by much though, and I don’t think either one are going to be any kind of huge mismatch, but they will make some plays.
I think if Kyle Williams has a decent day, it will go a long way towards success for the 9ers.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
I've absolutely been loving the progress Crabtree's been making, and he's becoming a very good #1 option
But yeah, pretty much this.
I'm just a simple Giants fan trying to make my way in the universe.
by Tim Lincecum's Bong on Jan 11, 2012 4:22 PM CST up reply actions
GAAAAHHH!!!!!
I just read that Harper didn’t practice today due to a “significant” ankle injury, most likely the infamous high ankle sprain. Man we really need him against Vernon Davis. DAMN!!!
Our fat punk kicker, Garrett Hartley, missed a game-winner and we lost for the second week in a row - Scott Fujita in 2009
by Ragin Who Dat on Jan 11, 2012 3:59 PM CST up reply actions
I posted a fanshot about this about half an hour ago.
I like Hamburgers!
Uh oh...better put an Asterisk on it.
Ooh me! Me! I have a question!
Why does Alex Smith take so many sacks? And under what circumstances? (Two…two questions.) And who is usually giving them up? (Three questions…I have three questions.)
"Sinn Féin, motherf*****s!"
Chilo Rachal, even from the bench
The right side of our line gave up way too many sacks. Early in the season Joe Staley gave up a few while adjusting to his new playing weight and has lately been good. Early in the season we had a fellow by the name of Chilo Rachal playing RG. Some people collect stamps, he racks up QB sacks. This also made Anthony Davis play scared and give up too many. Once we benched Rachal, all has been well. Snyder has been able to help young Davis in understanding the defense and helped remove the hesitation. Its still a huge concern.
Actually sounds fairly similar to our Center situation
with Kreutz being replaced by De La Peunte after injuries and sub-par play from Kreutz.
Not true
Sorry, but the sacks have gone up as the year progressed. First half of the season: 19. Second half of the season: 25. Last 4 games: 10. It’s obviously not an “early part of the season” problem. Really, what gives?
"Sinn Féin, motherf*****s!"
not sure
haven’t really been able to analyze it. Is this including the Ravens game where we just got demolished? (also when Rachal played due to the injured Snyder). We got sacked 9 times that game.
The one big trend with our sacks
Is that when we have a lot, we lose. In our three losses this season, we’ve had 20. In our 13 wins? 24. Part of it is absolutely about Rachal – he was mostly responsible for the 6 and 9 sack debacles vs Dallas and Baltimore respectively.
I'm just a simple Giants fan trying to make my way in the universe.
by Tim Lincecum's Bong on Jan 11, 2012 5:02 PM CST up reply actions
it's simply a pass protection thing
Combined with Walker getting hurt and Gore not being 100%. Both are used a lot to pick up the free rusher. We have been doing more passing over the last 1/4 of the season, and all of the above have impacted that.
The Niners really are still installing their offense and have to do that while subsitutiing players and dealing with injuries (which all teams have to deal with), so there are more bumps. But we kept winning and continued to develop and get more game film to go over and use for improvements.
by ColoradoNiner on Jan 12, 2012 12:19 AM CST up reply actions
I still don't buy the Saints can't play on grass argument
They’re 3-2 on grass. One loss was a close one against GB, and another was when Coach got his leg broken early in the game. I’m calling chaos factor there, no other explanation to losing to the Bucs.
Saints averaged 25.3 1st downs, 467 yards offense (334+133), and gave up 21 first downs, 368 yards on defense (260+109) in all of 2011
Saints averaged 21.8 1st downs, 463 yards offense (354+109), and gave up 20 first downs, 369 yards on defense (260+109) playing outside
The main difference is points, the games are much closer outside than inside.
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
They already played the Titans on grass and won
Not to mention people don’t realize that the turf in the dome is some of the best and newest turf on the market in the way that it’s as close to grass as it can get in the way of turf. I know this sounds like an ignorant statement but it does help some in games like this.
Only compared to us.
Oh and nobody else will say it, but that was about as blatant a game of 11-on-18 as I’ve seen in 4 years. It was so ridiculous Brett Favre, Ray Edwards, and Vishante Stankho were all calling for the refs to start calling the game fair.
Hahaha I remember that game.
We couldn’t SNEEZE near a Titans player without getting a penalty.
Mark Ingram-OROY
Cam Jordan-DROY
New Orleans Saints-2012 Super Bowl Champs
TOP IS GAWD!
It's not just the playing surface
It’s wind, it’s sun, it’s the chance of weather.
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
But you haven't played a defense as good as SF on grass yet.
Our point has never been that you are terrible outdoors and will lose because of it. It is that there is clearly a trend that we think is worth pointing out. It will impact the game in some way. And I’m glad you brought up the points, because that is our entire argument, we’ve given up tons of yards to teams (Giants, Eagles, Cowboys come to mind, 2-1 in those games), but we stay in those games because of red zone defense. We take away the run, make teams one dimensional and hold them to FGs…that gives us a great chance to win most games. Obviously this will be the toughest test of that formula this season, without a doubt.
Can you still put up 45? Sure it could happen, but basically we don’t think that’s as likely as you do. Game will be in the high 20s-low 30s. If it stays in the 20s we win, if gets in the 30s, we probably lose.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
See this is what I don’t understand. Obviously, SF is the toughest defense we’ve played this season, maybe in a few seasons. However, SF has not face an offense as potent as ours either, but that doesn’t seem to get nearly as much play.
I think an important aspect of this, which I haven’t seen any articles on yet, would be examining how much better than the average offense NO plays vs. how much better than the average defense SF plays.
As for the outdoors thing, it’s just gonna be one of those wait and see things.
I don't know how they stack up
But the Lions, Eagles, and Giants aren’t offensive slouches. They aren’t the Saints, but they are still great offenses statistically.
"Bears are crazy, Willie. They'll bite your head off if you're wearing steak on it."
True, but...
the Texans, Jaguars and Titans (when we played them at least) weren’t defensive slouches (we also played the Jags and Titans on grass). Which is why I think the poster below says we can’t measure it. Probably right.
I was just about to bring up the Texans win.
We dropped 40 on that defense when it was fully healthy.
Those are 2nd tier offenses
Just like the good defensive teams we’ve played are 2nd tier defenses. Although I think there’s a better argument that Houston has an elite D than Detroit has an elite O.
Plus, the Eagles and the Cowboys gained their season high in yards against the 49ers.
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
can't measure it
its the first for both. That is why there is so much excitement for this game league-wide. Two evenly matched opponents playing totally different styles. They will make a movie about this.
We understand we have not been as good in those circumstances
Our point is we can still win, but thanks for pointing it out a million plus times.
Not sure why you think if it stays in the 20’s you will win. We’ve won 6 games with 30 or less points. Only one of our losses the opposing team scored in the 20’s.
What are you talking about? I've never once said you couldn't win.
How many times do I have to say this game is 50/50 before someone actually reads and comprehends it…And what does you winning 6 games with less than 30 have to do with anything?
I’m talking about what it would take for the 49ers to win, keeping the game in the 20s gives us a much better chance than a game in the 30s…do you disagree with that?
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
I think she’s referring to this:
If it stays in the 20s we win, if gets in the 30s, we probably lose.and wondering why you chose 30 rather than, say, 25. Ultimately not worth arguing over.
20 points and 30 points is more common
25 is rare. 6 fgs and a TD to get to 25 unless we get into safeties and two point conversions
Didn't necessarily mean it as a definite
I guess that wasn’t clear.
Saying 30 cause we’ve only went over 30 three times. One was with 2 returns from Ginn, one was with a fake FG and I’m not even sure the Bucs game should count haha…
Obviously the game could be in the 20s and we lose, but that’s what it would take for us to win IMO. As an arbitrary example, it is the difference of one TD and the Saints winning 30-27, or the 9ers winning 27-23.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
I don't think we'll put up 45
Best we’ve done outdoors was 34 against GB, on their SB parade night. I can’t even explain how much I hope we get that rematch.
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
At least that’s a rematch worth watching, unlike LSU-Bama.
Unfortunately I can’t root for it to happen…
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
If LSU had played on grass
Les Miles would have at least had something to chew on
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
by CoachOfEarl on Jan 11, 2012 10:06 PM CST up reply actions
He brings a bag of grass from Baton Rouge.
He would never chew on the enemies grass. I on the other hand will be happy to chew on your fine grass…
Drew Brees....MVS Most Valuable Saint! Who Dat!!!
by cajuncommando58 on Jan 12, 2012 12:46 PM CST up reply actions
That explains a lot
Now we know what happened to his game plan…up in smoke!
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
Why would you chew that?
Nice lookin bud tho. Lots of crystals.
Mark Ingram-OROY
Cam Jordan-DROY
New Orleans Saints-2012 Super Bowl Champs
TOP IS GAWD!
ha. Got that one.
"I am a Saints player. Look, sir" Patrick Robinson
by CrazyforColston on Jan 11, 2012 5:18 PM CST up reply actions
Listen...
No one is saying you ’can’t play’ on grass. What people are saying is that your offense tends to score less points on grass, for whatever reason, which gives us an advantage. It’s not like people are saying we’re going to shut you out. Also, on turf, I’d take you over any team in the league in a flash.
I'm just a simple Giants fan trying to make my way in the universe.
by Tim Lincecum's Bong on Jan 11, 2012 4:25 PM CST up reply actions
While your screen name
gives you a pass on the grass obsession, I think everyone else should probably just stop focusing on it. It’s kind of silly.
Heh.
I'm just a simple Giants fan trying to make my way in the universe.
by Tim Lincecum's Bong on Jan 12, 2012 9:32 AM CST up reply actions
We pass on grass. All the time.
In Breesus' name we play
by Breesus Christ Superstar on Jan 11, 2012 8:13 PM CST up reply actions
Why I just got through passing some serious--
Oh, GRASS? Nevermind.
This isn't about rules, it's about manners. Now there's no rule that says that I cant come over here and fart on your entree. But I don't do it. Why? Because it's not good manners.
Sarah T- I am surprised at you!
you think they will shut down our running game? Like, we will give the ball to PT who NEVER loses yardage and is running like a man possessed. A man who wants the big bucks. And, if his success is limited, who will shut down Sproles? And if he is limited, who will stop Ivory? Maybe we should just cut to the chase and soften them up with Ivory first.
If you are a little uneasy about this game, take a look at how many playoff games this team has been in. Very few. Possibly the least playoff experience in the history of the NFL !
And, Alex Smith? What big game- I mean big game- has he proven himself in and don’t tell me vs th Steelers with a hobbled Rothlesberger after SF had already won their division. This is the real deal. This is real pressure. This is unlike any game the 49ers have been in for 9 years! And they were only in one playoff game in about 12 years and none of these guys were there.
"We've established the run; we've established the pass. Now all we have to establish is another championship!"
"Some say the glass is half empty;
Some say the glass is half full.
I say- 'are you going to finish that beer'?"
Not shut down completley
But I don’t see us being able to run it like we have been. I think they might pop through with some fairly big runs every short once in awhile but for the most part I see us struggling to keep it balanced. Maybe they will surprise me but I am just being honest. I think playoff experience will help but I am not sure how much.
I am not sure why you are talking about Alex Smith because I said their offense can’t put up the points that Drew can.
I agree about the lack of running NO may have
But like I said in the other thread, the fact you have such a deep stable of RBs may matter as they will be fresher than premiere backs who take beatings alone from our defense. Could be a difference maker that you don’t rely one back so much.
"Bears are crazy, Willie. They'll bite your head off if you're wearing steak on it."
I NEVER said we lack a running game
Our run game is the s***. Sproles just broke the record for all purpose yards in the single season. PT is a beast. Ivory is back to his old ways. Too bad Ingram is out for the rest of the season.
I just don’t see our run game being as stable as our passing game on Sat, for obvious reasons.
"lack of running NO may have"
He didn’t say “lack of running game.”
"I am a Saints player. Look, sir" Patrick Robinson
by CrazyforColston on Jan 11, 2012 5:25 PM CST up reply actions
If you are a little uneasy about this game, take a look at how many playoff games this team has been in. Very few. Possibly the least playoff experience in the history of the NFL !
Ugh, what do you mean by this team? Do you mean the Niners in general? As a franchise or as in over the last 10 years?
Haters gon' hate...
Montana isn't scheduled to be in uniform
so I’m assuming it is the current roster of young players on a team that hasn’t sniffed the playoffs in the last decade. It is a big problem and I hope our boys are mature enough to handle it.
we are a big game team. Are they?
"We've established the run; we've established the pass. Now all we have to establish is another championship!"
"Some say the glass is half empty;
Some say the glass is half full.
I say- 'are you going to finish that beer'?"
We have been this year so far. Lions, Giants, Steelers were all big games we won.
There is that Baltimore situation…across the country on a short week, but no excuses, simply got outplayed.
But honestly the team hasn’t been good for long enough to have a real picture. No really huge games (playoffs) to judge by.
Attack this day with an enthusiasm unknown to mankind. ~ Jack Harbaugh
Prime time.
Wish this game were in prime time. Not sure what it is, but Saints love prime time.
"I am a Saints player. Look, sir" Patrick Robinson
by CrazyforColston on Jan 11, 2012 5:30 PM CST up reply actions
Saints will be there with bells on
and all these return yards you seem to think Ginn is going to rack up will not happen.
"Emancipate yourself from mental slavery, none but ourselves can free our minds" -Bob Marley
by PanheadCatahoula on Jan 11, 2012 5:20 PM CST reply actions
This game is really a "Who knows what will trump what?" affair that will only be truly answered on the field Saturday afternoon
Seems like we’ve got a little conundrum: chicken vs. egg, cart vs. horse, peaches vs. cream, and…

Eagle vs. Shark (odd indie New Zealand movie)
Having the ball is better than not having the ball. And if you punt,
not only does it mean you don't have the ball anymore—
it means you didn't score, which sucks.
Running and Passing
Saints O: 2 scores by RB’s; 2 scores by WR’s; 1 score by TE; 2 scores by K= 41 points
49ers O: 4 scores by K; 1 score by RB; 1 score by TE= 26 points
Saints D: 2 picks and a fumble recovery. 2 lead to scores.
49ers D: 1 pick and 1 fumble recovery. 0 lead to scores.
This is going to be a great match up. However I think the Saints will come out on top.
Ninth Warder
Right.
League leader in turnovers vs. league caboose in turnovers.
League record holder in preventing rushing touchdowns (started 14 games with NONE) just giving two scores in one game…
SMH.
The most likely score, by everybody who makes a living on predicting scores is NO 24 SF 20. My hope it is the other way around, but…
You predict 67 points? You should rush to Vegas and just put your house on over (47.5, that was it?).
by Mindless on Jan 12, 2012 1:04 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
the matchup of the game, as it was against lions...
is Saints OL vs front 7. If Brees stays clean and has passing lanes, we can’t be stopped on O. That is all.
"But tonight the Superbowl belongs to the City of New Orleans" - Roger Goodell 2/7/2010
That is one of the battles of the game.
It is the 49ers 4th ranked run stuffing and 22nd ranked pass rushing defensive line vs the Saints 1st ranked run blocking and 3rd ranked pass blocking offensive line (rankings provided by FO. This is adjusted line yards, not DVOA.). Other battles: Jabari Greer (2nd best success rate for a cornerback in the NFL) vs. Crabtree or Vernon Davis. 49ers’ 21st ranked run blocking and 25th ranked pass blocking line vs. the Saints 21st run stuffing and 25th ranked pass rushing line.
Hey CoachofEarl
If you’re reading this, I wanted to talk to you about the graph you made with comparing the correlation between the Saints’ passing and rushing yards to point differential. I think taking the aggregate yards is fine to look at, but it makes it hard to compare to other teams like the 49ers because they don’t necessarily have to outrush or outpass their opponents to win. So, I ran a regression with the Saints passing NY/A, rushing Y/A, defensinve NY/A, defensive Y/A, starting field position, and turnover differential. Now, passing yards and rushing yards are significant, with rushing yards being slightly more significant. Just for fun, Defensive NY/A is significant at the 10% level and turnover differential and starting field position are significant at the 15% level, but I’m only interested in this significant at the 5% level.
Interesting
I would think with the small size of these datasets, 5% would be very difficult to achieve. You’re comparing all of these stats to point diffs? Can you post the results somewhere?
Which people claim that their team can defeat our professional football squad?
For ther 49ers that might be interested
the only stat significant at the 5% level was Offensive Passing NY/A. Defensive Passing NY/A was significant at the 10% level. This seems to show that the only statistically significant stats as to whether or not you have a positive or negative point differential is whether or not Alex Smith throws efficiently and whether or not your defense controls the efficiency of the opposing quarterback. So, like it has been known since the beginning of time, if you get to the qb, you win.

by 































