Barkevious Mingo. Jarvis Jones. Sheldon Richardson.
These three guys are the "unanimous" choices by experts to be drafted by the Saints with the 15th overall selection of the 2013 NFL Draft. Richardson would be the most likely scenario because while any of them would be logical choices, I just don't see Mingo and Jones slipping that far. But I'm not a big fan of Richardson, so I will be a little biased against that selection as well.
As you may already know, it is extremely difficult to pinpoint exactly whom a team will take in positions out of the top five. There is just too much parity.
So with that said, here are my top three scenarios (in order) for the Saints' first round selection in the 2013 NFL Draft.
3. Trade Up
Many people would probably think that this is a very illogical choice, but it really isn't. As Brees is getting older and older, time as a top tier offense is running out, and defensive coordinator Rob Ryan doesn't have much elite talent to work with. If a player such as Ezekiel Ansah or Dion Jordan slips to the bottom of the top ten, don't be surprised if the Saints jump up a few slots to snatch one of them.
2. Trade Down
Even though this draft is chock full of defensive talent and offensive lineman, the super-elite players (Mingo, Jordan, Ansah, Star, Fisher, etc.) will most likely be gone by the Saints' pick at fifteen. Left tackle is no longer an extreme need after the Jason Smith signing, anyways. It wouldn't be a bad idea to trade back and pick up a second round choice and possibly another to build for the future.
1. Select Alec Ogletree, ILB from UGA
In a lot of mock drafts Ogletree isn't selected until the mid-20s and is deemed a risk. I completely disagree with that assessment. In my opinion he is one of the best all around defensive players in the draft, and he is way underrated. His motor is never-ending, and his talent alone could put him in the top ten. The converted safety is strong in every defensive category and could automatically play as an inside linebacker for any 3-4 team. He can pursue the ball carrier, cover receivers, and tackle with authority. Ogletree would be the only available player at the fifteenth pick that I could completely trust.