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New Orleans Saints Vegas Line for 2016 at 6.5 Wins

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It's been a while since the Saints failed to win at least 7 games.

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Maybe the guys who use fancy algorithms to set betting lines in Las Vegas just know something we don't, but the early predictions for the New Orleans Saints record for 2016 is in, and boy is it low.

6.5 wins? That would mean, for you to bet the "Over" (at 7 or more wins), the Saints would have to not win more than 6 games for you to lose. That's a pretty rare feat for New Orleans. Even at their worst, the New Orleans Saints typically finish with at least 7 wins, finishing with exactly 7 in 2015, 2014, 2012, 2010, and 2007. The last sub-seven-win season came the Hurricane Karina-rocked 2005 season, when the Saints only won 3 games. To look for the last non-Katrina sub-seven season, you'd have to go all the way back to 1999. In 1999, the New Orleans Saints were coached by Mike Ditka, used four different starting QBs, and lost to the expansion Cleveland Browns.

You're looking at almost two decades without the Saints winning at least 7 games (excluding the Katrina year - just one decade if you include 2005), and winning less than 7 has not occurred in the entire Sean Payton era. Even with a tough record ahead of them, the Saints have a history of winning 7 or more games, and unless those Vegas guys know something we don't, it might be one of the smartest football bets of the year to make.