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Predict Drew Brees’s Stat Line for 2017

Will he lead the league in passing again?

NFL: Tennessee Titans at New Orleans Saints Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Coming into last season, many betting experts pegged New Orleans Saints Quarterback Drew Brees as the odds-on favorite to lead the league in passing in 2016. Brees didn’t disappoint, leading the NFL in passing for the 7th time in his career, passing the 5,000 yard mark for the 5th time. Passing for 5,000 yards is a rarity in the NFL, as it has only been done 9 times total, the first coming with Dan Marino’s 1984 season. That means Drew Brees has single-handedly passed for more 5,000 yard seasons than the rest of the history of the NFL.

Now coming into the 2017 regular season, Bleacher Report has predicted stat lines for all projected 32 starting QBs. A whopping three QBs are all predicted to pass the 5,000 passing yard mark in 2017, two of which are coming from the NFC South: Drew Brees, of course, and Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons. The third QB predicted to pass for more than 5,000 yards is New England Patriots QB Tom Brady.

Now it’s not to say that three QBs passing for more than 5,000 yards is impossible - it has happened once before in NFL history. In 2011, two of the three QBs predicted to pass for 5,000 in 2017 (Tom Brady and Drew Brees) did the same in the 2011 regular season, joined by Detroit Lions QB Matthew Stafford (instead of Matt Ryan).

Bleacher Report predicts both Brady and Ryan to pass for 5,100 yards, with Brees edging both out by a mere 50 yards, leading the league in passing for the 8th time in his career. They also project Brees to take a teensy step backward in total passing TD’s (down from 37 to 36) but make progress in Interceptions (down from 15 to 13).

But what do you predict to be Drew Brees’s final stat line for 2017? Predict total passing yards, passing TDs and interceptions, and we’ll revisit it at the end of the season. Make your guesses in the comments. My prediction: 5,070 pass yards (2nd in passing in the league), 35 passing TDs, and 12 INTs.