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New Orleans Saints favored heavily in Mile High matchup

The Saints will travel to Denver with a near-touchdown spread ready to clash with the Broncos.

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints have been favored by more than five points four times this season and Sunday’s game against the Denver Broncos will be the fifth. According to our friends at Sports Betting Dime, the Saints are a six-point favorite heading to Mile High. This will also be the second lowest over/under for a Saints game this season since the 41.5 total against Chicago.

Straight-Up: New Orleans (-265), Denver (+225)
Against the Spread: New Orleans (-6), Denver (+6)
O/U: o43.5 (-110), u43.5 (-110)

On The Road Again

This will be the fifth road game for the Saints this season. After losing the first against the Las Vegas Raiders, an AFC opponent, New Orleans has won three in a row away from the Dome. All three of those remaining wins have been against NFC opponents. Since 2006, the Saints are now 10-3 straight up when favored on the road against AFC teams. During that 13 game stretch they’re also 9-4 against the spread. Favored on the road against a team from either conference the Saints are 36-10 after going 2-1 so far this year straight up. Against the spread in those games, they are 27-19.

Denver vs. Rookie Quarterbacks

Denver is currently 2-3 at home so far this season. The two wins were against rookie quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert going 3-2 against the spread in those games. Depending on how you classify Saints quarterback Taysom Hill, this might be worth consideration. Hill is by no means a rookie, being in the league since 2017. However, this is only his second start as an NFL quarterback. He does though have years of NFL experience on Tagovailoa and Herbert at this point, which should bode will for New Orleans.

Turnover Game

A big factor in this game will be watching which team is commits more turnovers. The Saints have continued to be very careful with the ball with Drew Brees at the helm, but Taysom Hill has been credited with five fumbles (should be six), losing three of them. With a +5 turnover differential, the Saints have done well to protect the ball so far this season. Denver on the other hand is tied for the league’s worst turnover margin with a concerning -13.

Good new for the Saints as well is that after two years of just 12 and 13 interceptions in 2018 and 2019 respectively, the defense has already totaled 11 in ten games. Eight of their 11 interceptions have come in the last four games. Meanwhile, the Broncos have thrown the league’s most interceptions with 17. Denver quarterback Drew Lock is responsible for 11 of those himself with six thrown in his last four games. In fact, Lock actually has more multi-interception games than he has multi-touchdown games in 2020 thus far. All this to say, the Saints’ defense is in good position to hit the over on interceptions below and the team as a whole should have some opportunities to capitalize on mistakes.

OVER/UNDER

Hill Passing Yards: 206.5 yards
Hill Longest Completion: 29.5 yards
Hill Longest Air Yardage: 12.5 yards
Winston Total Snaps Played: 17.5
Lock Passing Yards: 237.5
Kamara Yards from Scrimmage: 98.5
Saints Sacks: 2.5
Saints Interceptions: 1.0
Broncos Punts: 4.5

ODDS TO SCORE FIRST RUSHING TD OF THE GAME

Kamara: 5/2 (+250)
Gordon: 3/1 (+300)
Lindsay: 7/1 (+700)
Murray: 8/1 (+800)
Hill: 9/1 (+900)
FIELD: 7/1 (+700)

ODDS TO SCORE FIRST RECEIVING TD OF THE GAME

Sanders: 6/1 (+600)
Thomas: 6/1 (+600)
Cook: 7/1 (+700)
Fant: 9/1 (+900)
Kamara: 9/1 (+900)
Jeudy: 11/1 (+1100)
Patrick: 11/1 (+1100)
FIELD: 7/2 (+350)

ODDS TO GET FIRST INTERCEPTION OF THE GAME

M. Williams: 10/1 (+1000)
M. Jenkins: 12/1 (+1200)
Simmons: 14/1 (+1400)
Callahan: 14/1 (+1400)
Robinson: 15/1 (+1500)
J. Jenkins: 16/1 (+1800)
Lattimore: 16/1 (+1800)
FIELD: 3/1 (+300)
No INTs: 5/2 (+250)


Do you think the Saints will pull off their eighth straight win?? Let us know in the comments. Make sure you follow Canal Street Chronicles on Twitter at @SaintsCSC , “Like” us on Facebook at Canal Street Chronicles, and make sure you’re subscribed to our new YouTube channel. As always, you can follow me on Twitter @RossJacksonNOLA and subscribe to my daily Saints podcast, Locked On Saints.