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The Saints carry “underdog” tag for the first time this season in Tampa

For the first time this season, New Orleans will not be favored as they travel to take on the division rival Bucs.

NFL: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

After being favored in seven straight games this season, the New Orleans Saints are finally the underdog against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It’s the first time the Saints were not the favorites in a regular season game since Week 7 of 2019 visiting the Chicago Bears. The Saints were five and a half-point underdogs at the start of the week but according to sportsbettingdime.com, the line shifted slightly to 3.5 as of Sunday afternoon.

Straight Up: New Orleans (+160); Tampa Bay (-182)
ATS: New Orleans (+3.5); Tampa Bay (-3.5)
O/U: o50.5 (-110), u50.5 (-110)

As Underdogs

A lot of fun stuff to dig into this week. Since 2006 the Saints are 30-40 straight up as underdogs but have covered 41 times. Focusing down to just the NFC South, New Orleans is then 12-15 SU, 18-9 ATS when the odds are against them facing divisional opponents. Against the Bucs in particular, the Saints are 2-2 with all four games being played at Raymond James Stadium. These two teams have played some wacky games at “Ray-Jay” and this is just next in an interesting rivalry. Last season was the first time New Orleans had swept Tampa since 2014. In the four seasons in between, the series was split one win each. Can the Saints repeat the sweep? Or will history correct itself to the recent rhythm?

At Tampa Bay

As I mentioned, the Saints and Bucs tend to play some interesting games at Raymond James Stadium. Interception returns for touchdowns, kick return touchdowns, blocked punts and field goals, and more. These teams always provide the entertainment. Since 2006, the Saints are 9-5 at Tampa Bay, 8-6 against the spread. However, New Orleans is only 1-3 against at the Bucs when Tampa Bay has a winning record. If you are live betting though, it might be worth considering the Saints if they score first. In instances where the Saints score first against the Bucs on the road they are 5-1. So the waiting game for live betters might be a friendly one. As for over/under, going under would carry a historically 9-6 record. These two teams in Tampa have only hit the over on a 50+ O/U once since 2006.

Tom Brady/Drew Brees Props

This is going to be a very fun week tracking these two quarterbacks. The GOAT conversation gets his second head-to-head bout of the season with a possible third on the way come the postseason. Below are props regarding each player’s day but also who might end the day with the all-time passing touchdown record which will be watched closely throughout the contest. Note that the below odds are curated by Sports Betting Dime with the assumption that Michael Thomas plays - which seems increasingly likely.


OVER/UNDER

Brees Passing Yards: 287.5 yards
Brees Longest Completion: 36.5 yards
Brees Longest Air Yardage: 18.0 yards
Brady Passing Yards: 289.5 yards
Brady Longest Completion: 38.0 yards
Kamara Total Yards from Scrimmage: 109.5 yards
Sanders (NO) Yards Receiving: 47.5 yards
Thomas (NO) Yards Receiving (if he plays): 77.5 yards
Brown (TB) Yards Receiving: 43.5 yards
Brown (TB) Targets: 5.5
Evans (TB) Targets: 7.5

ODDS TO FINISH THE SEASON WITH THE CAREER PASSING TD RECORD

Drew Brees: 4/1 (+400)
Tom Brady: 1/4 (-400)

ODDS TO HAVE THE MOST RECEIVING YARDS (assuming M. Thomas plays)

Mike Evans: 4/1 (+400)
Michael Thomas: 4/1 (+400)
Alvin Kamara: 6/1 (+600)
Emmanuel Sanders: 7/1 (+700)
Antonio Brown: 8/1 (+800)
FIELD: 7/2 (+350)

ODDS TO SCORE FIRST RECEIVING TD (assuming M. Thomas plays)

Mike Evans: 4/1 (+400)
Michael Thomas: 5/1 (+500)
Rob Gronkowski: 7/1 (+700)
Jared Cook: 7/1 (+700)
Alvin Kamara: 10/1 (+1000)
Antonio Brown: 11/1 (+1100)
FIELD: 7/2 (+350)


Which QB do you think will finish the game with the lead in all-time passing touchdowns? Let us know in the comments. Make sure you follow Canal Street Chronicles on Twitter at @SaintsCSC, “Like” us on Facebook at Canal Street Chronicles, and make sure you’re subscribed to our new YouTube channel. As always, you can follow me on Twitter @RossJacksonNOLA and subscribe to my daily Saints podcast, Locked On Saints.