The New Orleans Saints have been given a betting line of 10.5 wins for the 2020 season, meaning to bet the “over,” the Saints would have to win 11 or more games to make the bet a winner. A season where the Saints “only” win 10 games would make a bet on the “over” a loser.
After a series of three-straight 7-9 seasons, the Saints have won at least 11 games in each of the last three seasons, winning the NFC South each year. With this in mind, that could be why bettors are overwhelmingly throwing their money behind the Saints to win at least 11 games this year.
DraftKings Nation recently released betting trends for each of the NFC South teams, and for the New Orleans, bettors were almost unanimously taking the “over” for 10.5 wins.
New Orleans Saints, Win total: 10.5
Over (-106): 99% handle, 90% bets
Under (-115): 1% handle, 10% bets
Notable additions: S Malcolm Jenkins, WR Emmanuel Sanders, QB Jameis Winston, C Cesar Ruiz*, LB Zack Baun*
Notable departures: S Vonn Bell, OLB A.J. Klein, QB Teddy Bridgewater
Everyone is on the Saints to hit their over and it isn’t even close. They have won 13 games in each of their last two seasons and had a positive offseason. They will have more trouble with Tampa Bay than in previous seasons, but there is no doubt they are a veteran team that is poised to win.
With 90% of the bets coming in on the over, it’s easy to forget the hype surrounding Tom Brady’s addition to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. For the Bucs, only 72% of bettors took the “over” on Tampa’s line 9.5 wins. Even fewer, 54%, took the “over” on the Atlanta Falcons projected win line of 7.5 games. With a line of only 5.5 games, 81% of bettors believe the Carolina Panthers could surpass expectations.
Even still, it’s surprising the ratio of over/under bets per team is so high for the Saints, where essentially fans are more confident in the Saints to win at least 11 games in 2020 than they are for the Panthers to win just 6.
The games are played for a reason, but oddsmakers typically know what they’re doing. It will be interesting to see how teams stack up to these lines when the 2020 season is in the books.
Do you agree with these odds? Do you think the Saints win at least 11 games in 2020? Let us know in the comments. Make sure you follow Canal Street Chronicles on Twitter at @SaintsCSC, “Like” us on Facebook at Canal Street Chronicles, and make sure you’re subscribed to our new YouTube channel. As always, you can follow me on Twitter @ChrisDunnells.