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Sports betting analysts react to the Saints’ over/under eight win total

“For (the win total) to be only eight is laughable” says one analyst.

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New Orleans Saints v Seattle Seahawks Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images

The New Orleans Saints are currently predicted to win eight games for the 2022-2023 NFL season by DraftKings and most other major sports books. This would be a one-win decrease from their nine wins achieved last season.

This comes as a surprise to many, as the Saints won nine games in 2021 with a slew of injuries and COVID-19 roadblocks.

The recent additions of multiple highly touted free agents would have likely boosted the projected win total. However, the Black and Gold are still projected to win eight games in 2022, giving them their first season under .500 since 2016.

To the average Saints fan, an 8-9 season may sound like an egregious underestimation, but what is the betting world saying about the Saints’ win total?

From the moment the lines were released in early May through today, the experts are siding with the over, but not without some concerns and doubts. Mike Fanelli, analysts, heavily sides with the over.

Several experts recognize the weight on Jameis Winston’s shoulders this season. However, analysts like Nick Ashooh from think that he is well up to the challenge, especially when analyzing his seven healthy games last season.

One possible explanation for the low win total involves the team’s premiere offensive talent, Alvin Kamara. His suspension is still looming after receiving a battery charge in February. According to a report from Pro Football Talk, the running back is expected to be suspended for at least six weeks.

In the five games that the Saints were without Kamara last season, they lost all five. However, these games were played without Jameis Winston, Michael Thomas and the slew of new talent added this offseason.

Another possible reason for the low win total could be the retirement of Sean Payton. Though Dennis Allen has done well in his role as defensive coordinator, his seven-year hiatus from head coaching likely contributed to the low projected win total.

Pick Six Podcast co-host Will Brinson believes that Allen might not have what it takes to pick up what Payton left behind.

The Saints have hit their win total overs in four out of the past five-win seasons. Last season, though coupled with countless injuries, they finished with nine wins, the exact number of wins that was predicted.

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