The New Orleans Saints have reconstructed their young roster and are focused on taking a significant step forward as they play one of the NFL's easier schedules. The New Orleans Saints' predicted over/under win total is provided below as we continue our series on NFL odds.
The Saints' first season with coach Denis Allen was a disappointment. They finished with a 7-10 record and had a lot of injuries at receiver and on the offensive line. The Saints lost 5 of their last 6 games by only one point. The Bengals, Cardinals, Buccaneers, and Vikings all beat them heartbreakingly in London.
Despite the injuries and limitations imposed by the quarterback's performance, New Orleans' offense was statistically below average at rushing the ball and in the middle of the pack in throwing stats. The defense basically had two halves of a season. In the first seven games, they gave up a huge 28.5 points per game, but in the last ten games, they only let their opponents score 14.5 points per game.
The Saints gave up the ninth-most yards on the ground and the second-fewest yards through the air, which shows that they were much more susceptible to the run than to the pass. The Saints, on the other hand, had only seven picks, which was third-fewest in the league, even though they put pressure on the other team all the time and tied for fifth-most sacks (48).
It won't help matters either that the Saints lost three of their starting defensive lineman to free agency, despite the fact that they were able to find some excellent and affordable replacements.
In the competitive NFC South, can the Saints overcome some of their departures and contend for a postseason spot? Let's look at the Saints' possible NFL playoff betting
over/under odds without further ado.
Here are the latest reigning NFL odds to bet on for New Orleans Saint:
Over/Under Win Total
Over 9.5 Wins: +120
Under 9.5 Wins: -148
Reasons why Saints might go Under 9.5
Even though the offensive line for the Saints is still only average, there is still a possibility for development because three of the starters are still young. In addition, there is continuity because four of the regular starters from the previous season are back. The sole exception is left tackle, where James Hurst is anticipated to be replaced with 2022 first-round pick Trevor Penning.
With Derek Carr taking over at center in a new system and Alvin Kamara's possible suspension still hanging over their heads, it might take some time for New Orleans' offense to gel truly. The health and depth of the receiving group as well as Derek Carr's ability to improve upon last season's performance will likely be the greatest determinants of the Saints' over/under odds, aside from the challenge of replacing three strong starters along the defensive line.
Given that the Saints have already signed three of Carr's former teammates from Las Vegas, a team that is already stocked with slot receivers, Hunter Renfrow of the Raiders has been identified as one of their top trade targets.
During his first four seasons, Michael Thomas was one of the best receivers in the NFL. However, he is now approaching age 30, has been injured frequently, and has played in just 10 games since the end of the 2019 season.
Rashid Shaheed made a big impression as a rookie UDFA and serious deep threat, especially down the stretch, hauling in 20 receptions for 324 yards and a touchdown in the team's final five games. Chris Olave was one of the league's top rookies last season. One of the best late-round bargains from the 2023 NFL Draft might be A.T. Perry. The health and depth of the receiving group, though, could have a significant impact on the Saints' over/under victory total because to Thomas' extensive injury history.
Reasons Saints can go Over 9.5
Given their incredibly favorable schedule, especially early in the season, it makes sense why we expect a solid start from this team in the Saints' game-by-game predictions. Even with a mid-season three-game home losing streak and New Orleans splitting the series with two division rivals, it's difficult to not like the over for the Saints' over-under victory total.
New Orleans should entirely escape any potential cold weather games this season because they have road tests against the Patriots and the struggling Packers in the first five weeks of the season. In 2023, it's simple to imagine the Saints starting off well despite having to play at least three rookie quarterbacks in the first eight weeks of the season, as well as three starters who are struggling under the pressure: Ryan Tannehill, Jordan Love, and Baker Mayfield.
The additions of third-round draft pick Kendre Miller and free agent Jamaal Williams provide the Saints with some much-needed insurance in case Alvin Kamara is suspended as expected. If New Orleans can maintain health at the wide receiver position or if Hunter Renfrow is acquired in a trade later this summer, the wide receiver room could develop into one of the finest in the NFC.
The tight end room is also underrated. Juwan Johnson just finished his third season with 42 catches for 508 yards and seven scores, which was a bit of a breakout for him. Foster Moreau was diagnosed with Hodgkin's Lymphoma a few months after signing a three-year deal with the Saints. At first, it was thought that he would miss the 2023 season, but he was a full participant at OTAs and should continue to be a solid No. 2 tight end for Derek Carr.
Last season, Swiss Army knife Taysom Hill had 892 all-purpose yards, including a career-high 575 rushing yards, and 11 scores. Every time he goes out on the field, he could be a surprise.
Even though there weren't many mistakes last year, the secondary is still the best part of this team. Marshon Lattimore, Paulson Adebo, Marcus Maye, and Tyrann Mathieu are the best players in this area.
Final Take on Saints Over/Under Prediction & Pick
The Saints are well-equipped to beat the challenges on their schedule and get back to the playoffs. They have a young but battle-tested team, a soft schedule, and play in a weak division. The Over 9.5 Wins at +120 odds prediction for the Saints seems like a safe bet.
This FanPost was written by a reader and member of Canal Street Chronicles. It does not necessarily reflect the views of CSC and its staff or editors.