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Saints vs. Falcons props and best bets

In the final week of the 2023 NFL regular seasons, the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints renew their rivalry one more time.

New York Giants v New Orleans Saints
Jimmy Graham deserves a proper swan song if this is the last game of his career.
Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images

The final week of the NFL regular season is sadly here. With it comes one of the fiercest rivalries in the NFC as the Atlanta Falcons face the New Orleans Saints in a game where records do not matter. Of course, both teams do need a win to make the playoffs, but even if that were not the case this game would still be hotly contested. It is also possible that this game could lead to some sideline changes for the loser, upping the stakes for both teams. Last week’s Saints bets were a perfect 4-0, including the long shot hitting late in the game. Let’s strive for more perfection. Each week, CSC will preview and highlight some wagers for every Saints game. Thanks to our friends over at DraftKings Sportsbook for the lines for the Saints vs. Falcons week 18 best bets.

NFL Week 18 Saints vs Falcons best bets

Falcons game line +4.5(-137)

If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were to get upset by the Carolina Panthers, then this game will crown the winner of the NFC South. Both teams are going to put their best on the field, even if the playoffs and division had already been decided. Although the Saints should continue to play well and avenge this season’s earlier loss, division rivalries are always tightly contested. This means taking the points for whichever team is getting them. The Saints win this game, but the Falcons will keep it within a field goal.

Indianapolis Colts v Atlanta Falcons
Tyler Allgeier is one of the most dangerous backup running backs in the NFL.
Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images

Tyler Allgeier over 28.5 rushing yards(-120)

One of the most troubling trends for the Saints late this season has been the rushing defense. The team is currently in the bottom 10 of the league in multiple metrics, including yards per rush and rushing yards per game. This bodes well for the bruising rushing style of the Falcons Tyler Allgeier. The last time these two teams faced, Allgeier rushed for 64 yards on just 10 carries. If the Falcons want to ensure first round draft pick Bijan Robinson is ready for next season, Allgeier could see the bulk of the rushing work. Against this Saints rushing defense though, Allgeier hardly needs a huge amount of carries to cash this prop. Expect a similar game from Allgeier in week 18 as he easily rushes for more than 29 yards in this divisional rivalry.

New Orleans Saints v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Blake Grupe has fought through the turmoil and emerged as a reliable kicker late this season.
Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

Blake Grupe over 1.5 made field goals(-105)

While the recent play of the offense has been the focus around the team, Blake Grupe has quietly had a very successful five game stretch. This is the kicker that the Saints thought they were signing when they traded Wil Lutz this past offseason. In his last five games, Grupe is perfect. He has successfully converted every single field goal and extra point in this stretch. With both the Falcons and Saints playing for their jobs, expect both teams to treat this game as important. This means every point matters and that touchdowns will not come easily. Grupe will need to be perfect again, and he will be while converting over two field goals.

Long shot of the game

Jimmy Graham anytime TD scorer(+550)

This could easily be the last game in the storied career of Jimmy Graham. Graham started his career in New Orleans, and it would be fitting if this was his finale. The Saints offense has fared well when involving Graham with the red zone offense, scoring four touchdowns this season on just six receptions. Saints fan will be begging for one more flash of Graham brilliance when the Saints get in the red zone. Not only would this be a great potential send-off for Graham, because he is one of their best red zone weapons this season. Jimmy Graham scores in his likely last home game in New Orleans.